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Europe Politics

Brexit Party doesn’t mean Brexit: 2 graphs that tell the real story

Much noise is being made about the Brexit Party’s rapid ‘success’ in European election polling. The media are throwing around alarmist language like ‘terrifying’, ‘surge’, and ‘showdown’. All of their commentary is fundamentally misleading.

Europe Politics

Brexit Agreement delays make extreme outcomes more likely

Theresa May’s decision to delay the vote on the Withdrawal Agreement in the House of Commons and go back to the EU seeking more concessions has increased the uncertainty surrounding the UK’s exit from the European Union. This article evaluates the probabilities of various Brexit scenarios that could take place in light of this recent development.

Europe Politics

Labour’s muddled approach to Brexit creates its own risks

The Brexit process is reaching a critical moment. As negotiations continue, key parliamentary votes are lingering in the next few months. This article analyses the current sentiment within the opposition Labour Party whose inability to form a cohesive counterweight to the Conservative exacerbates potential risks.

Economics Europe

UK consumer debt: A cause for alarm?

As consumer debt in the UK reaches pre-2008 financial crisis levels within a new low interest rate austerity dynamic, we examine whether there is reasonable cause for concern and how the Government and Bank of England mitigate the risk.

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 22 – 28 July 2018

Brexit negotiations to continue as parliament fails to coalesce around any option. Trump Russia scandals heat up in Washington. Pakistan elections could see rise of Imran Khan as power maker.

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 21-27 May

Colombian presidential elections threaten political system. Irish referendum divides country. Barbados goes to the polls. All in The Week Ahead. COLOMBIA: Presidential election threatens to whipsaw the political system This

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 18 – 24 March 2018

Impeachment proceedings begin against Peruvian President Kuczynski. UK sanctions against Russia likely to escalate. US tariffs expected to take effect. All in the Week Ahead

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 25 February – 3 March 2018

Right wing populists slated to make gains in Italian elections. New ceasefire comes to Syria. EU budget negotiations spill over. The United Kingdom debates the customs union. All in The Week Ahead. 

Economics International The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 10 -16 December

Brexit moves to round two. U.S. Congress heads towards budget battle. German government moves closer to a coalition. Judge calls for arrest of former President Kirchner. All in The Week Ahead.

Economics International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 3 – 9 December

UK reaches Brexit deadline. Brazilian president supports campaign rally. India changes interest rates. US government faces shutdown. All in The Week Ahead.