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Latin America Politics

Federal security intervention in Rio jeopardises Brazil’s pension reform

A new federal security intervention decree signed by President Temer federalizing attempts to fight crime in Rio de Janeiro may prevent a key vote on pension reform from taking place next week. Brazil’s credit rating is at risk without progress on pensions.

Guest Post Middle East/North Africa Security

Interview: Prospects for investment in Syria’s reconstruction

With ISIS seemingly on the retreat, what can we expect security risks in Syria to look like in 2018? GRI asked Syria expert Rasmus Jacobsen – co-founder and head of analysis for Atlas Assistance, a Beirut-based risk management company – to weigh in.

Asia Pacific Finance

Blockchain goes East: opportunities in China

As Beijing ratchets up its pressure on bitcoin, this time targeting mining, Chinese investors are exploring the potential of the technology central to it all – blockchain.

Middle East/North Africa Risk Pulse Security

Warning signs of instability in Egypt

The latest data from our Risk Pulse collaboration show major increases in potential instability and unrest. Social and political conditions in Egypt are ripe for another revolutionary wave.

Latin America Security

Venezuela crisis spills over into Colombia

Colombia’s immigration crisis represents an unprecedented challenge, raising political instability and threatening the peace deal that took decades to achieve. 

Economics Europe Finance

Exclusive Interview: Alfa Bank’s Chief Economist on the outlook for Russia

Natalia Orlova, Chief Economist and Head of Macro Insights at Alfa Bank, offers her expert view on Russia’s economic outlook – and warns that the market may be incorrectly pricing sovereign risks.

Asia Pacific Natural resources and energy

The future of Yamal LNG in the Asia-Pacific market

Claims have been made that Yamal LNG will be directed to the Asian market, however, there are several factors that limit its turn to the Asia-Pacific.

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 18 – 24 February 2018

South Africa’s new president seeks change in direction following tumultuous Zuma years. Ethiopia’s ruling party looks for solutions after PM’s resignation. Australia’s coalition government at a crossroads as leaders trade barbs. Mueller investigation enters new phase as 13 Russians are indicted. All in The Week Ahead 

Middle East/North Africa Security

The growing insurgent threat in Egypt’s Western desert

Egypt faces a growing threat of militancy in its Western desert as combat-hardened Sunni extremists have been solidifying their positions along the Libyan border.

Europe

Poland faces isolation over Holocaust bill

Poland, along with its neighbors in Central and Eastern Europe, has recently received severe criticism from Brussels on its democratic backsliding and efforts to curb an independent judiciary, free press and other constitutional safeguards such as the rule of law.