Under The Radar
‘Under The Radar’ uncovers political risk events around the world overlooked by mainstream media. By detecting hidden risks, we keep you ahead of the pack and ready for new opportunities.
Chile: Impact of US-China trade war
Chile, the leader among Latin American economies, is finding itself in a tricky situation to increase economic growth.
South Africa: Attempts at Continental Diplomacy
Under President Cyril Ramaphosa, South Africa is seeking to regain the respect and authority it held in its early years of democracy.
Kyrgyzstan: Risk of a third revolution?
Notwithstanding the recent violent unrest in Kyrgyzstan, Atambayev’s saga is unlikely to lead to a violent overthrow of the government, which occurred in the country in 2005 and 2010.
An Indian Space Odyssey: Security and Economy
Several ISRO initiatives concerning the Indian space programme have been conducted. These reflect India’s growing wealth and technological capability.
Papuan Separatists Unification Unlikely to Stabilize
West Papuan separatist groups have recently united under a single banner. However, internal conflict and a determined Indonesian government will likely lead to a deterioration in the security environment in Indonesia’s Papua Province. This will increase the risk of disruption to mining operations in the resource-rich province.
Sanctions and social media: Civil unrest and Iran-US relations
Recent domestic and international developments have negatively affected the stability of the Iranian regime.
Cameroon: Escalating Crisis in the Anglophone Regions
The escalation in Anglophone Cameroon began about two years ago and shows no signs of resolution. The international community should encourage the Cameroonian government and Anglophone separatists into meaningful dialogue.
Predicting the next global pandemic
The nature and likelihood of the next pandemic presents many challenges to governments and health organisations, as it could be an unknown pathogen that the world is ill-equipped to contain. The risks associated with such a pandemic has secondary effects as it not only affects human health, but also causes severe disruptions in economic, political, and social areas.
Under the Radar: Chronic food insecurity could hurt Liberia’s economic growth and stability
Since the end of the civil war in 2003, Liberia has become an example of progress and peaceful democratic transition for other countries emerging from conflict. However, there is a possibility that economic and political instability, and unrest, could evolve in the coming years due to the risk of food insecurity.
Under the Radar: Why an arms embargo could be South Sudan’s best hope
A comprehensive arms embargo on weapons flows into South Sudan would improve regional humanitarian conditions, mitigating political violence and growing civil unrest.
