Insights
Belarusian Protests: Russia’s Reluctance
Russia seems unlikely to intervene in anti-Lukashenko protests in Belarus, despite what most Western and Russian news sources report. Instead, they reluctantly stand on the sidelines, unwilling to oust the President, but unwilling to support him either.
Venezuela: The Risk to the Maduro Regime’s Stability
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro Moros and several top-level officials in Venezuela were indicted on charges of “narco-terrorism” by U.S. Attorney General William Barr on Thursday the 26th of March, 2020. This indictment follows a months-long escalation of tensions between Caracas and Washington D.C.
India: Impact of COVID-19 on adoption of BS-VI norms
On the 1st of April 2020, India adopted the BS-VI emission norms. The move places India in a select group of economies with Euro VI-compliant fuels. However, the move to low sulphur transport fuel is fraught with downside risk given the impact of COVID 19 on the Indian economy. The capital-intensive move by refineries and automobile manufacturers has now moved into a stage where the revival of demand and coordinated price adjustment is essential for cost recovery.
US: Inflationary pressures are highly unlikely
As a response to the Covid-19 outbreak, the United States unveiled a $2 trillion package in March – the largest of its kind. Aside from the expansion of debt, potential inflation has been a cause for concern. But several factors ensure that broad inflationary pressures will almost certainly be absent during the lockdown, and, likely, in the immediate period after.
South Sudan: Despite new peace deal, stability is a far-cry
South Sudan’s contemporary history suggests that conflict could erupt anytime due to the tense and uptight military balance in the capital. Hence, despite the new peace agreement, the country will not be experiencing stability anytime soon.
U.S.-EU Trade Talks: Under the Spectre of Coronavirus Pandemic
The article assess the impact of coronavirus (CoVid-19) on the global economy, in particular, on the United States and European Union.
China’s International Partnerships: Pan-African Cooperation
China is redrawing the global security map beyond the Asia-Pacific. This article, the third in a four-part series, examines China’s continental ambitions in Africa and their impact on militarisation, infrastructure, technology, and governance models.
Cameroon: Conflict Continues in Lead-up to Elections
On February 7th, parliamentary elections will be held in Cameroon, a nation plagued by internal conflict for the last four year. The prospect of elections has seen a ramping up of tensions, with a significant increase in violence from both the separatists in the country’s west and government forces.
Serbia: Between Russia and the West
The recent exposure of a Russian intelligence operation in Serbia highlights the dual strategy that Russia pursues towards its neighbours.
Bosnia: Humanitarian crisis and EU aspirations
Human rights NGOs and international organisations have raised flags that increasing migration flows along the Western Balkans route may soon constitute in a humanitarian crisis in Bosnia and Herzegovina. It is likely that this crisis may damage Bosnia’s already fragile EU accession aspirations.
