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Europe Politics

Why the Brexit Party doesn’t mean Brexit: 2 graphs that tell the real story

Much noise is being made about the Brexit Party’s rapid ‘success’ in European election polling. The media are throwing around alarmist language like ‘terrifying’, ‘surge’, and ‘showdown’. All of their commentary is fundamentally misleading.

Europe Politics

Where do the Yellow Vests stand?

More violence has broken out in France over President Macron’s proposed reforms. Will the Yellow Vests movement fade or is the unrest set to continue? Much depends on Macron’s image and the movement he is able to put together. 

Eurasia Europe

Eurasia: Is Belarus the next Crimea?

Russia tries to tighten its grip while simultaneously decreasing the resulting budget burden. On the other hand, Belarus is not willing to sacrifice its sovereignty but is acutely aware of its economic dependence on Russia.

Europe Insights

Eastern Ukraine: Is reintegration still a realistic prospect?

On 24 April, Russia signed a decree allowing residents of rebel-controlled areas of Eastern Ukraine to apply for Russian passports. This was the latest in a series of steps making the reintegration of the Donbass less likely.

China Economics

China: Will the economy absorb shocks from US trade dispute?

The US-China trade war recently escalated with Donald Trump’s decision to increase tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese imports. As trade talks fail to overcome political barriers between both countries, China is feeling immediate economic pressure. 

Middle East/North Africa Security

Syria’s Idlib: Limited offensive to enforce Sochi Accord

Bashar al-Assad’s regime started an aerial assault against rebel-held areas in northwest Syria in late April. The purpose of the offensive is capturing the M4 and M5 highways from Aleppo to Hama and Lattakia, as agreed in Sochi.

China Politics

China’s new Silk Road or debt-trap diplomacy?

Italy’s decision to join China’s new Silk Road project last month has heightened Western nations’ concerns over Chinese expansionism.

North America Politics

The Ongoing US Entanglement with Saudi Arabia over Yemen

President Trump’s veto over the Saudi-led war in Yemen represents a sharp divide between Congress and the White House over US foreign policy. This is unlikely to be the last time this divide occurs, raising questions over US leadership and its commitment to human rights.