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Latin America Politics

Federal security intervention in Rio jeopardises Brazil’s pension reform

A new federal security intervention decree signed by President Temer federalizing attempts to fight crime in Rio de Janeiro may prevent a key vote on pension reform from taking place next week. Brazil’s credit rating is at risk without progress on pensions.

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 18 – 24 February 2018

South Africa’s new president seeks change in direction following tumultuous Zuma years. Ethiopia’s ruling party looks for solutions after PM’s resignation. Australia’s coalition government at a crossroads as leaders trade barbs. Mueller investigation enters new phase as 13 Russians are indicted. All in The Week Ahead 

Politics Risk Pulse

Explaining Erdogan’s persistent popularity

Since the failed coup in 2016, Erdogan has tightened his hold on all aspects of political, social and legal institutions and life in Turkey. Yet the latest data shows he remains very popular with a large part of the population.

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 11 – 17 February 2018

Pyeongchang Olympics represent opportunity for dialogue. Sweden Central Bank looks at interest rates. Market gyrations likely to continue. All in The Week Ahead. 

Europe Politics

Signs that Russia’s leadership may be ready for tax reform

The Kremlin is considering a major budgetary move following the presidential election in March 2018, but the plan may require some very unpopular measures. Is Russia’s leadership ready to take risks?

Latin America Politics

The importance of the FARC’s 2018 political campaign

On January 27, Rodrigo Londoño began his campaign for president of Colombia. Will this move help the FARC achieve greater acceptance and further the peace process, despite the unlikelihood of a political victory?

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 4 – 10 February 2018

Nepal faces upper chamber elections. Another budget vote looms in the US Congress. All in The Week Ahead 

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Egypt votes: the last man standing

The upcoming presidential election is as unpredictable, as it is predictable. Seven figures intend to stand in the election, but really only one remains.

Politics Sub-Saharan Africa

The Gulf crisis echoes in Africa

The Qatari Emir’s visit to West Africa underlines the continued strategic importance of Africa in the ongoing Gulf crisis.

Europe Politics

The Czech Republic’s fractious politics hold a lesson for Europe

The latest news from the Czech Republic confirms a worrying trend for European politics, as populist and anti-immigration forces unite against perceived injustices and interference from the establishment in Brussels.