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Economics Europe

Serbia: Robust Q1 Performance Unlikely to Continue

The Serbian economy performed well during the first quarter of 2020. Structural factors, such as a smaller dependence on tourism, as well as effective fiscal and monetary responses, have significantly alleviated contractionary pressures. However, guiding the economy throughout the rest of the year will be a more laborious endeavour. 

Covid-19 Economics

Making History: Coronavirus and Negative Oil Prices

Since the beginning of the Coronavirus pandemic, there has been a loss of 1/3rd global demand – more than 30 million barrels per day (BPD). The virus instilled a level of uncertainty for oil traders, but the catalyst for the initial drop in price can be attributed to the escalating price war between Russia and Saudi for market share, eventually leading Saudi to flood the market with oil.

China Economics

COVID-19: China’s e-commerce

All markets and industries have struggled under the strain of coronavirus and the measures implemented to combat it. Firms and individuals alike have sought out ways of mobilising solutions in response to the challenges COVID-19 presents.

Covid-19 Economics Insights North America

US: Inflationary pressures are highly unlikely

As a response to the Covid-19 outbreak, the United States unveiled a $2 trillion package in March – the largest of its kind. Aside from the expansion of debt, potential inflation has been a cause for concern. But several factors ensure that broad inflationary pressures will almost certainly be absent during the lockdown, and, likely, in the immediate period after.

Economics Risk Pulse

Price War: OPEC+

After OPEC ally Russia refused to cut production, Saudi Arabia launched a price war, sending global oil prices to as low as $32 a barrel on March 9th.

Economics Sub-Saharan Africa

Zimbabwe’s President Mnangagwa: One Year Later

Following the ousting of late President Robert Mugabe, Zimbabweans hoped for a real change. One year into the administration of his successor Emmerson Mnangagwa, there are mixed emotions.

Economics Europe

EU-Mercosur FTA: Threats and Challenges

When the European Commission announced the signing of the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement, it sounded like a done deal. However, the provisional text must be ratified by all the parliaments of adhering countries, including the European Parliament and Council.

Economics Europe

ECB: Systemic problems and future headwinds

At the next European Central Bank policy meeting in September, it is expected to gently lower interest rates to ease the burden on a stagnant Eurozone economy.

Africa Economics Sub-Saharan Africa

Ethiopia’s critical juncture: Ethnic tensions and liberal transition

After a failed coup in June, ethnic violence and repression are on the rise in Ethiopia.

Economics Europe

Tariffs bite in North Kosovo, but how badly?

On 21st November 2018 Kosovo imposed 100% tariffs on goods from Serbia. On 1st July 2019, businesses in the Serb-dominated north Kosovo shut their doors and protested against the policy.