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North America Politics

10 reasons why Trump is likely to win re-election

President Trump has been repeatedly reported to be trailing in the polls for this week’s General Election. However, we predict that the incumbent’s re-election is highly likely, and not as improbable as the mainstream media, polls and political risk institutions suggest.

Central America Security

Mexico: Onset of Migration Crisis

US ‘outsourcing’ immigration enforcement to Mexico has led to massive numbers of migrants waiting at Mexico’s northern and southern borders.

China Special Reports

China’s International Partnerships: Pakistan, CPEC, and Central Asia

China is redrawing the global security map beyond Asia-Pacific. This article, the second in a four-part series, examines how Beijing’s ‘march West’ strategy is impacting regional security architecture in Pakistan and Central Asia. 

Middle East/North Africa Politics

US power vacuum in the Middle East: What next?

Under President Trump, the United States is looking to play a minor role in the Middle East and this reduced American presence will cause distortions in the region.

China Economics

China-US: A Trade War of Attrition?

On 10 May, 2019, the Trump administration raised tariffs on USD 200 billion worth of imports from China. This escalation of events caught observers by surprise. The Chinese side has retaliated with tariffs on American goods.

Politics South and Central Asia

Sino-Russian alignment in reality: The case of Central Asia

This article presents an assessment of what the Sino-Russian relationship mean for Central Asia and the United States, in the short and long term.

Middle East/North Africa Politics

US troops withdrawal from Syria and the threat of Islamic State

President Trump’s decision to withdraw troops from Syria has infuriated allies and strengthened adversaries on the ground. This has allowed Turkey to potentially eliminate a key Kurdish fighting force. This article assesses who stands to win and lose from this decision and the long-term impact for relations in the Middle East.

Asia Pacific Natural resources and energy

Sanctions, oil, and the emerging China-Russia-Iran axis

Although China has backpedalled on proposed tariffs on U.S. crude imports, the move is indicative of its need to diversify sources and steps may now be taken to enable China to play the oil card in the future – including imports from Iran despite sanctions, and drawing closer to Russia. 

North America Security

The U.S has neglected an imperative consequence of withdrawing from the Iran Nuclear Deal: Cyberattacks

Following the U.S. decision to withdraw from the Iran Nuclear Deal, retaliation in the form of cyberattacks could have potentially devastating results.

International Politics

Will the latest Israeli-Palestinian confrontations escalate further?

More than 100 Palestinian protesters were killed by Israeli armed forces in a recent confrontation at the border. What is the risk of these clashes escalating further in both scale and intensity?