Tag "Ethiopia"

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Africa Security

Water Security and the GERD: Is Conflict Brewing on the Nile?

Egyptian and Ethiopian tensions over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam have been escalating over the past decade. Whilst Egypt’s concerns over water scarcity could lead to conflict in the long-term, internal development could alleviate worries over scarce water resources. Egypt’s desire to recoup their position as regional hegemon, however, may prove influential in the escalating tensions. 

Africa Politics

Somalia – A Triple Threat to Instability?

Internal and external forces have ominously converged in recent weeks, threatening the tentative state of stability in Somalia. Domestically, President Mohammed Farmaajo’s efforts to manoeuvre his path to re-election in 2021 are sparking considerable internal strife, while internationally, a hurricane of potentially harmful geopolitical winds is circling around Somalia.

Europe Security

Ethiopia – What next for Abiy Ahmed?

The apparent culmination of the Ethiopian government’s ‘law enforcement operation’ in Tigray poses a number of new questions for the future of Africa’s second-most populous country. The crisis in Ethiopia, which erupted at the start of November, is the culmination of a period of rising tensions between Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s government and the Tigrayan People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). 

Africa Economics Sub-Saharan Africa

Ethiopia’s critical juncture: Ethnic tensions and liberal transition

After a failed coup in June, ethnic violence and repression are on the rise in Ethiopia.

Africa Politics

Will Abiy Ahmed usher in a new Ethiopia?

Dr Abiy Ahmed, Ethiopia’s reforming PM, has stimulated outlandish optimism for Ethiopia’s future. However, the country is beset with challenges. The young PM hopes to bring lasting stability and democracy through social change. Is that enough?

Insights Sub-Saharan Africa

New alliances in the future of the Horn of Africa

After years of conflict and a tense stalemate between the two countries, Ethiopia and Eritrea signed a peace deal in July that marks a new chapter in the relations between the two countries. If it is true that these are frankly positive news, the sudden change of pace seemed having taken everyone by surprise.

Economics Sub-Saharan Africa

Ethiopia between risk and reform

Ethiopia is undergoing its most significant changes since the 1991 birth of the EPRDF ruling coalition under its controversial leader, Meles Zenawi. The last two months have witnessed the realigning of Ethiopia’s economy and bilateral relations with previous foes such as Eritrea and Egypt.

Politics Sub-Saharan Africa

Abiy Ahmed: the dawn of a new day for Ethiopia?

Ethiopia recently swore in Abiy Ahmed as Prime Minister. His appointment holds a great deal of meaning for Ethiopia and the region as a whole. His first months as Prime Minister will be closely watched by Ethiopians, neighboring countries, and the world.

Economics Under The Radar

Under the Radar: Ethiopia’s economic growth offers opportunities and challenges

Ethiopia is booming, with manufacturing, energy and infrastructure leading the way. But the weak private sector and cracks in the federalist political model pose risks to further growth and investment.

Middle East/North Africa Politics Under The Radar

Under the Radar: Is this the stage for Africa’s next war?

The authoritarian nature of Egypt and Sudan heightens the risk for brinkmanship and increases the possibility of a border clash over the Halayeb region.