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Finance North America

OZY+GRI: The bull market’s still built on borrowed money… What could cause the crash?

A nightmarish flashback to the previous economic meltdown may be warranted, especially when it comes to investors using their portfolios as collateral to buy more stocks and bonds on borrowed money.

Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy Politics

Tunisia’s phosphate mines – between a rock and a hard place

The ongoing strikes in Tunisia’s phosphate mines offer a valuable insight into structural deficits of the Tunisian economy.

Europe Politics

New elections could bring political insecurity to Germany

With new elections in the realm of possibilities, Germany is likely to turn towards domestic stability rather than prioritizing European issues.

Asia Pacific Environment Natural resources and energy Politics

ASEAN could face a crisis over its appetite for coal

Asia’s developing economies collectively need to invest $14.7 trillion just for power generation by 2030. Coal is filling that gap, with investments pouring in from China and Japan. But are ASEAN governments prepared to face the environmental costs?

Economics North America

OZY+GRI: Could this interest rate cliff-edge cripple the US economy?

Out-of-control inflation in the US is a gray rhino — a high-impact, negative occurrence that is rationalized until it is too late. The government’s response, though, could lead to a true black swan: a low-frequency, high-impact event that no one sees coming.

Economics Europe Special Reports

OZY+GRI: Will the powerful German economy break up the EU?

Germany’s trade surplus is viewed with resentment across the EU due to the implied — and in some cases, tangible — economic imbalance that benefits Deutschland über alles and could lead to the dissolution of Europe’s grand experiment.

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 25 February – 3 March 2018

Right wing populists slated to make gains in Italian elections. New ceasefire comes to Syria. EU budget negotiations spill over. The United Kingdom debates the customs union. All in The Week Ahead. 

Latin America Politics

Federal security intervention in Rio jeopardises Brazil’s pension reform

A new federal security intervention decree signed by President Temer federalizing attempts to fight crime in Rio de Janeiro may prevent a key vote on pension reform from taking place next week. Brazil’s credit rating is at risk without progress on pensions.

Guest Post Middle East/North Africa Security

Interview: Prospects for investment in Syria’s reconstruction

With ISIS seemingly on the retreat, what can we expect security risks in Syria to look like in 2018? GRI asked Syria expert Rasmus Jacobsen – co-founder and head of analysis for Atlas Assistance, a Beirut-based risk management company – to weigh in.

Asia Pacific Finance

Blockchain goes East: opportunities in China

As Beijing ratchets up its pressure on bitcoin, this time targeting mining, Chinese investors are exploring the potential of the technology central to it all – blockchain.