Tag "Egypt"
The Murder of Giulio Regeni and the Egyptian-Italian Partnership
Four agents of the Egyptian secret services have been formally accused of the murder of the Italian student Giulio Regeni. Notwithstanding the widespread outrage among the Italian population, the government’s
Water Security and the GERD: Is Conflict Brewing on the Nile?
Egyptian and Ethiopian tensions over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam have been escalating over the past decade. Whilst Egypt’s concerns over water scarcity could lead to conflict in the long-term, internal development could alleviate worries over scarce water resources. Egypt’s desire to recoup their position as regional hegemon, however, may prove influential in the escalating tensions.
Al-Bashir is planning his own exit
Omar Al-Bashir, the embattled president, will step down from power by appointing a successor who will not hand him over to the International Criminal Court. However, his selection will result in a military takeover that will remove the entire regime from power.
Energy and security in the Eastern Mediterranean
The discovery of hydrocarbons in the Eastern Mediterranean’s Levant Basin has created new regional security dynamics. The quest for power and influence hinders energy and economic cooperation.
The Week Ahead: 26-31 March 2018
Egyptian President likely to be reelected. Presidential election tensions heat up in Sierra Leone. Negotiations to form a government in Italy drag out. All in the Week Ahead.
Jihadism’s staying power in North Africa
The North Africa-based al-Qaeda affiliate AQIM has recently undertaken a variety of organizational reforms apparently aimed at centralizing the group’s decision-making and control. These reforms will likely help make it
Warning signs of instability in Egypt
The latest data from our Risk Pulse collaboration show major increases in potential instability and unrest. Social and political conditions in Egypt are ripe for another revolutionary wave.
The growing insurgent threat in Egypt’s Western desert
Egypt faces a growing threat of militancy in its Western desert as combat-hardened Sunni extremists have been solidifying their positions along the Libyan border.
Turkey’s southern ambitions
While the world is focusing on Turkey’s actions in Syria, President Erdogan’s recent visit to Africa signals Turkey’s intentions to expand its impact on a much larger scale around the Red Sea.
Under the Radar: Ethiopia’s economic growth offers opportunities and challenges
Ethiopia is booming, with manufacturing, energy and infrastructure leading the way. But the weak private sector and cracks in the federalist political model pose risks to further growth and investment.