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Europe Under The Radar

EU: Migrant crisis anew?

A mass gathering of migrants at the Greek-Turkish border has brought back memories of the refugee crisis of 2015. Although the EU is reacting differently in 2020, the underlying causes and potential implications remain the same.

Economics Risk Pulse

Price War: OPEC+

After OPEC ally Russia refused to cut production, Saudi Arabia launched a price war, sending global oil prices to as low as $32 a barrel on March 9th.

Insights

U.S.-EU Trade Talks: Under the Spectre of Coronavirus Pandemic

The article assess the impact of coronavirus (CoVid-19) on the global economy, in particular, on the United States and European Union. 

Europe Politics

Germany: Race for Merkel’s Succession

The dominance of the German people’s parties has waned considerably in recent years. Growing fragmentation in the political landscape and within parties has increased the risk of political instability. 

China Risk Pulse

Coronavirus: Threats to Global Economy

Aside from the obvious humanitarian costs associated with the coronavirus outbreak, it will inflict a severe economic toll. Given the structure of international supply chains, a Chinese slowdown affects the rest of the world. But this may no longer be a Chinese problem, as the recent surge in cases in Italy threatens the Eurozone economy directly.  Global growth may have to take a temporary backseat until the crisis is resolved.

Europe Security

Russia and Ukraine: Nothing good lies ahead?

Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky’s decision to sign the Steinmeier formula has allowed peace talks between Russia and Ukraine to resume. However, a few months after the Normandy Four summit, the chances of reaching a solution for the protracted conflict in eastern Ukraine remains unlikely.

China Risk Pulse

China – Coronavirus Outbreak

The 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), popularly known as ‘coronavirus’ has caused widespread concern since being identified in Wuhan, China in late December.

Insights

China’s International Partnerships: Pan-African Cooperation 

China is redrawing the global security map beyond the Asia-Pacific. This article, the third in a four-part series, examines China’s continental ambitions in Africa and their impact on militarisation, infrastructure, technology, and governance models.

Africa Insights

Cameroon: Conflict Continues in Lead-up to Elections

On February 7th, parliamentary elections will be held in Cameroon, a nation plagued by internal conflict for the last four year. The prospect of elections has seen a ramping up of tensions, with a significant increase in violence from both the separatists in the country’s west and government forces.

Europe Politics

Malta: Challenges for the new Prime Minister

Malta elected a new prime minister in January, Robert Abela of the Labour Party, and he has a daunting task ahead in trying to unify the country and uphold the rule of law.