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Insights Under The Radar

South Sudan: Despite new peace deal, stability is a far-cry

South Sudan’s contemporary history suggests that conflict could erupt anytime due to the tense and uptight military balance in the capital. Hence, despite the new peace agreement, the country will not be experiencing stability anytime soon.

South and Central Asia The Security Briefing

NATO’s Afghanistan Withdrawal: Regional interests and civil war fears

A deal has been recently struck in US-Taliban peace talks and progress towards long term peace seems increasingly possible. However, with a likely NATO withdrawal and recent election results, there continues to be a substantial risk to the country’s security and the likelihood of descent into civil strife. 

Europe Politics

Rise of Sinn Fein: Prospect of a United Ireland

The surprisingly strong showing of Sinn Fein, the left-leaning Irish republican party is yet another profound political development for the British Isles in the period since Brexit.

Economics Risk Pulse

Price War: OPEC+

After OPEC ally Russia refused to cut production, Saudi Arabia launched a price war, sending global oil prices to as low as $32 a barrel on March 9th.

Insights

U.S.-EU Trade Talks: Under the Spectre of Coronavirus Pandemic

The article assess the impact of coronavirus (CoVid-19) on the global economy, in particular, on the United States and European Union. 

Europe Politics

Germany: Race for Merkel’s Succession

The dominance of the German people’s parties has waned considerably in recent years. Growing fragmentation in the political landscape and within parties has increased the risk of political instability. 

China Risk Pulse

Coronavirus: Threats to Global Economy

Aside from the obvious humanitarian costs associated with the coronavirus outbreak, it will inflict a severe economic toll. Given the structure of international supply chains, a Chinese slowdown affects the rest of the world. But this may no longer be a Chinese problem, as the recent surge in cases in Italy threatens the Eurozone economy directly.  Global growth may have to take a temporary backseat until the crisis is resolved.