Latin America
The peso crisis in Argentina: A risk analysis
Argentina’s new currency crisis: what happened this time? Is any comparison with the previous crisis possible? What impact could we expect in the close-term for President Mauricio Macri and the country’s political stability?
Dollar appreciation against the real likely to impact Brazil’s economic recovery
The US dollar’s appreciation has caused concern regarding Brazil’s economic recovery – which has been driven by its internal market – given its pressure on inflation and the possible decrease in consumption as products become more expensive.
Peru’s democracy is at stake in Vizcarra’s anti-corruption crusade
As yet another corruption scandal reverberates through Peru, if new president Martín Vizcarra fails to lead the country past the wrongdoing that has plagued its government for decades, Peru could fall into a democratic crisis.
How market-friendly are Brazil’s presidential candidates? Part II
The 2018 presidential election is set to be the “election of hope” for the people of the country, but so far the race is wide open. GRI’s Lorena Valente revisits the candidates and how their views on the economy have evolved in recent months – or not.
Post-conflict Colombia looks towards the future
The election of Ivan Duque could represent a pivot point in post-Conflict Colombia. How effectively his administration handles the ongoing implementation of the 2016 peace agreement with the FARC may presage the ultimate success or failure of his presidency.
Colombia’s president-elect inherits a polarized country
As the youngest president in Colombia’s history, Iván Duque’s fresh-faced and scandal-free image may prove useful in uniting Colombia in support of his administration. However, several formidable challenges have the potential to derail his administration.
Cuba’s incoming constitution unlikely to see new market reforms
The latest push to rewrite Cuba’s four-decade old constitution is another momentous opportunity for change, but it is unlikely to bring desperately need political and economic reforms expected for the island.
The IMF joins President Macri’s bid to ward off political risks
The Argentine government and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on 7 June agreed to a Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) of up to $50 billion after suffering a speculative attack on the Argentine peso in May.
The Nicaraguan crisis deepens
The ongoing political crisis in Nicaragua between the Sandinista government under President Daniel Ortega and anti-government protesters continues to worsen. The crisis marks the worst period of political violence that Nicaragua has faced since the end of its civil war in 1989.
Pre-salt reserves make Brazil ripe for investment, but risk remains
On October 27, 2017, new auction rounds for the eight pre-salt blocks in Brazil were launched. As the Brazilian government approved a new regulatory framework for the bidding process to allow more investors, 14 foreign companies and two Brazilian entities were qualified to participate in the auction.
