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Insights Middle East/North Africa

Sudan in state of emergency

Sudan is facing social unrest over the rule of President Bashir. This will cause socio-economic and political uncertainty over short to medium term.

Insights

Formation of the Independent Group in British Politics

The formation of The Independent Group out of a cohort of centrist MPs could signal the eventual demise of the two-party system in the United Kingdom.

Guest Post Insights

Guest Post: Humanitarian intervention and information warfare

This article is a Guest contribution that discusses the potential future of State-sponsored information warfare and its ramifications

Insights Sub-Saharan Africa

New alliances in the future of the Horn of Africa

After years of conflict and a tense stalemate between the two countries, Ethiopia and Eritrea signed a peace deal in July that marks a new chapter in the relations between the two countries. If it is true that these are frankly positive news, the sudden change of pace seemed having taken everyone by surprise.

Insights

India, France, and their new security agreements

Regional power struggles and maritime security are at the heart of new security agreements between France and India. India is especially worried about being geopolitically isolated by China, and is seeking to expand its presence in the Indian Ocean.

Insights

Jihadism’s staying power in North Africa

The North Africa-based al-Qaeda affiliate AQIM has recently undertaken a variety of organizational reforms apparently aimed at centralizing the group’s decision-making and control. These reforms will likely help make it

Insights

The Munich Security Conference – to the brink

The theme of the Munich Security Conference this year was “To the Brink – and Back?” Amid a decline in US diplomatic leadership, and with no clear European successor, the conference failed to reassure those concerned by heightened inter-state tension. 

Insights

China’s Belt and Road Initiative: Regional Outlooks for 2018

Excerpts from our Belt and Road Initiative: Risk Insights report on the 2018 outlook for different regions receiving Chinese investment.

Insights

Chairman Powell and the future of the Fed

Trump has just appointed Jerome Powell as the new Federal Reserve Chairman. What does this mean for U.S. fiscal policy moving forward?

Insights

Book Review: Perilous Interventions

Puri’s conclusions suggest that careful planning can help international actors avoid disastrous unintended consequences. The same goes for investors.