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Africa Politics

The Coup in Sudan: can democratisation still be achieved?

Following last month’s coup, which dissolved the power-sharing agreement established between the military and civilian forces, protestors took to the streets of the Sudanese capital, Khartoum, demanding the reestablishment of the civilian government. After years of division in leadership, economic hardship and isolation from the international community, this comes as another stumbling block on Sudan’s road to democracy. Nevertheless, military General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, now the head of government, maintains that the military aims to oversee Sudan’s democratic transition by June 2023. Whether this will be possible remains to be seen. 

Africa Politics Security

The Political Economy of Sudanese Reform

Since the overthrow of President Omar al-Bashir, the civilian Council of Ministers headed by Abdullah Hamdok has been tasked with realising the aspirations of the Sudanese people who took to the streets to protest for a better future. All the while, they are hindered economically by the legacy of Sudan’s affiliation with transnational terrorism. Meanwhile, the presence and influence of Sudan’s military officers remains significant, especially in the face of myriad security concerns, whose political ambitions are undimmed.

Africa Security

Russia and Sudan – New Naval Base Agreement a Sea Change for the Region

Sudan and Russia have announced an agreement that will see Russia gain access to a naval base at Port Sudan. The posting of Russian troops and warships will shift the balance of power in the region, whether by permitting Russian vessels to operate in the area for far longer than before, or by requiring adaptations in procedure and behaviour by other forces.

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Al-Bashir is planning his own exit

Omar Al-Bashir, the embattled president, will step down from power by appointing a successor who will not hand him over to the International Criminal Court. However, his selection will result in a military takeover that will remove the entire regime from power.

Insights Middle East/North Africa

Sudan in state of emergency

Sudan is facing social unrest over the rule of President Bashir. This will cause socio-economic and political uncertainty over short to medium term.

Middle East/North Africa Security

Turkey’s southern ambitions

While the world is focusing on Turkey’s actions in Syria, President Erdogan’s recent visit to Africa signals Turkey’s intentions to expand its impact on a much larger scale around the Red Sea.

Economics Under The Radar

Under the Radar: Ethiopia’s economic growth offers opportunities and challenges

Ethiopia is booming, with manufacturing, energy and infrastructure leading the way. But the weak private sector and cracks in the federalist political model pose risks to further growth and investment.

Politics Sub-Saharan Africa

The Gulf crisis echoes in Africa

The Qatari Emir’s visit to West Africa underlines the continued strategic importance of Africa in the ongoing Gulf crisis.

Middle East/North Africa Politics Under The Radar

Under the Radar: Is this the stage for Africa’s next war?

The authoritarian nature of Egypt and Sudan heightens the risk for brinkmanship and increases the possibility of a border clash over the Halayeb region.

Natural resources and energy Sub-Saharan Africa

East Africa’s pipeline politics in 2016

East Africa’s LAPSSET project remains at the volatile nexus of political and commercial dynamics with its short to medium term success increasingly unlikely. East Africa’s aspirations for economic integration were