Tag "Civil war"

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Middle East/North Africa Security

Will the US Negotiations With the Taliban Leave Afghanistan Vulnerable?

Although entering negotiations with the Taliban might be seen as a sign of progression, there are still concerning signs that the fighting will continue in Afghanistan after the withdrawal of American support and influence. Without an American presence there is a danger that Afghanistan will be more exposed than ever to the threat of the Taliban’s terrorism. 

Europe Security

Ethiopia – What next for Abiy Ahmed?

The apparent culmination of the Ethiopian government’s ‘law enforcement operation’ in Tigray poses a number of new questions for the future of Africa’s second-most populous country. The crisis in Ethiopia, which erupted at the start of November, is the culmination of a period of rising tensions between Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s government and the Tigrayan People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). 

Insights Under The Radar

South Sudan: Despite new peace deal, stability is a far-cry

South Sudan’s contemporary history suggests that conflict could erupt anytime due to the tense and uptight military balance in the capital. Hence, despite the new peace agreement, the country will not be experiencing stability anytime soon.

Politics Sub-Saharan Africa

South Sudan: Post civil war instability

September’s peace deal in South Sudan was greeted with apprehensive relief. Now scepticism is rising.

Middle East/North Africa Politics Special Reports

Is a new civil war looming over Algeria?

The bleak economic situation of Algeria increases the country’s political risk outlook in the coming years

Security Sub-Saharan Africa

Investing in Mali? An in-depth look at Malian political and security risk

Mali has in recent years flipped from being a heralded model of democracy to being mired in civil war. The history of the large, arid country in the western Sahel

Middle East/North Africa Security

Three hard lessons for Syria from Lebanon’s civil war

While the prospect of all-out war in Lebanon is unlikely, the country’s own experience might draw some important lessons on how Syria’s conflict may eventually end. A day before the

Security Sub-Saharan Africa

Coffee, anyone? Multinationals take risks in war-torn South Sudan

Uganda is withdrawing its troops from South Sudan. This will heighten political risks for investors and businesses across South Sudan in the short and medium term. In the long-term, high

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

The UK heads to the polls in a hotly contested election. The US Department of Labor releases April’s unemployment figures. Canada’s largest oil producing province votes on a new government.

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Not just a proxy war: Yemen’s strategic importance

Yemen is a relatively small, poor, and remote country. However, recent airstrikes by a Saudi-led coalition against the advancing Houthi rebels have highlighted the strategic importance of this country.  When