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Europe Security

Belarus and Russia: Will Putin Back Lukashenko or Watch his Downfall?

Belarus and Russia have been experiencing a deterioration in their relationship for years now. However, the current protests sweeping Belarus in light of the elections of August 2020, which controversially found President Lukashenko to have secured 80% of the vote, could prove to be a turning point for the already tenuous alliance between the two former Soviet states. President Putin has hitherto been cautiously supportive of Lukashenko to the extent that Moscow is still able to exercise flexibility of action. Examining current and previous developments between the two states in light of the crisis in Ukraine in 2014, the best option for Putin remains to refrain from interference for the time being. 

Europe Insights

Belarusian Protests: Russia’s Reluctance

Russia seems unlikely to intervene in anti-Lukashenko protests in Belarus, despite what most Western and Russian news sources report. Instead, they reluctantly stand on the sidelines, unwilling to oust the President, but unwilling to support him either.

Eurasia Europe

Eurasia: Is Belarus the next Crimea?

Russia tries to tighten its grip while simultaneously decreasing the resulting budget burden. On the other hand, Belarus is not willing to sacrifice its sovereignty but is acutely aware of its economic dependence on Russia.

Economics Europe Technology and infrastructure

Belarus on the cusp of a (tech) revolution?

New legislation puts Belarus at the forefront of the cryptocurrency boom – and shows the government’s commitment to attracting long term IT investment.

Europe Security

The EU’s Eastern partnership summit: pragmatism and realpolitik

On 24 November, the 5th Eastern Partnership (EaP) Summit took place in Brussels. Security issues dominated the summit, while EU membership was off the table.

Economics Europe

Belarus will not be the “next Ukraine”

The weak status of Belarus’ opposition and the economic interest found in maintaining Russian interests indicate the country will remain stable.

Economics Europe

Easing visa requirements: Belarus eyes foreign business

The potential easing of travel visa requirements in Belarus is likely to boost the local economy while improving its regional and global image.

Europe Politics

Belarus’ latest elections: A potential for further opening

While the election of two opposition MPs does not change Belarus’ power balance, it does show signs of a thaw towards the opposition and the EU.

Economics Europe

Three reasons why Belarus is on investors’ radar

After years of economic crisis and anaemic growth, Belarus is becoming an attractive destination to foreign investors.

Europe Technology and infrastructure

Belarus’ IT sector sparks new growth

The recent development of the IT sector in Belarus has had major positive effects on the local economy and led to the creation of a new social dynamic among young high-skilled workers. It also occurred at a time when the country is trying to improve its ties with regional actors.