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Europe Politics

The Risks of a Positive Agenda Between the EU and Turkey

In the aftermath of the 25-26 European Council Summit, the EU is clearly divided in its approach to Turkey. While some wish to see a more determined EU which supports its values and protects its Member States, others disagree with sanctions on Turkey and support a more welcoming plan with which to meet the state. However, an approach using exclusively soft power opens up the EU to risks that have the potential to be very costly. 

Europe Politics

Belarus: Democratic awakening in stalemate

While Belarusian strongman Lukashenko has held onto power since the highly contested August 2020 presidential election, public discontent with the regime has persisted in the face of police brutality and human rights abuses. As the West increases sanctions on Belarusian officials and the Kremlin’s support transforms into pressure, it is critical to assess whether Europe’s last authoritarian stronghold will survive in 2021.

Asia Pacific Insights Politics

Lessons from Hanoi with Prof Stephan Haggard

Donald Trump was widely criticised for walking away in Hanoi but the disappointing end of the summit holds prospects for a more realistic approach to denuclearisation. With input from Prof Stephan Haggard, here is some insight into what really happened in Hanoi and what we can expect to happen next.

International Politics Security

India and Russia: Triumf or sanctions?

New Delhi and Moscow recently concluded a USD 5 billion deal for military equipment. GRI’s Malvika Singh analyses the importance of the deal to India, and the likelihood of American sanctions.

Economics Europe

The U.S. blacklist of Russian oligarchs: what is the real impact?

The blacklist’s signaling effect will be significant – creating perceived risks for US or EU companies in working with listed persons and their companies.

Latin America Security Under The Radar

Under the Radar: Hezbollah and Iran find new strength in Latin America

Is anyone paying attention to Hezbollah and Iran’s presence in Latin America?

Economics North America

Trump and the ‘normalisation’ of relations with Cuba

On 8 November, Washington imposed fresh sanctions on Cuba, targeting the tourism and business industries. Is this a return to Cold War politics?

Asia Pacific

Targeted sanctions on Myanmar would dash hopes of investment surge

Peter is a London based analyst. He specializes in trade and regulation in the Asia Pacific region. He holds a MSc in Economy, Risk and Society from the London School of Economics and a BA in International Studies from American University.

Asia Pacific Politics

What next for Suu Kyi, Myanmar and the Rohingya?

The plight of the Rohingya once again dominates international media headlines. But even though Suu Kyi is reluctant to stop the attacks, geopolitical interests are likely to prevail over any

Europe Politics

2017 Preview: Europe’s security and political risk outlook

With 2017 fast approaching, Europe and the EU will likely continue to be exposed to a range of security, financial and political risks.