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Insights

The Munich Security Conference – to the brink

The theme of the Munich Security Conference this year was “To the Brink – and Back?” Amid a decline in US diplomatic leadership, and with no clear European successor, the conference failed to reassure those concerned by heightened inter-state tension. 

Europe Politics

The Kremlin’s anti-corruption campaign comes to the Caucasus

In recent years, anti-corruption campaigns in Russia has led to multiple arrests and trials of high-level officials, including several regional governors. In early 2018, they came to the republic of Dagestan in the North Caucasus.

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 25 February – 3 March 2018

Right wing populists slated to make gains in Italian elections. New ceasefire comes to Syria. EU budget negotiations spill over. The United Kingdom debates the customs union. All in The Week Ahead. 

Guest Post Middle East/North Africa Security

Interview: Prospects for investment in Syria’s reconstruction

With ISIS seemingly on the retreat, what can we expect security risks in Syria to look like in 2018? GRI asked Syria expert Rasmus Jacobsen – co-founder and head of analysis for Atlas Assistance, a Beirut-based risk management company – to weigh in.

Economics Europe Finance

Exclusive Interview: Alfa Bank’s Chief Economist on the outlook for Russia

Natalia Orlova, Chief Economist and Head of Macro Insights at Alfa Bank, offers her expert view on Russia’s economic outlook – and warns that the market may be incorrectly pricing sovereign risks.

Asia Pacific Natural resources and energy

The future of Yamal LNG in the Asia-Pacific market

Claims have been made that Yamal LNG will be directed to the Asian market, however, there are several factors that limit its turn to the Asia-Pacific.

Europe Politics

Signs that Russia’s leadership may be ready for tax reform

The Kremlin is considering a major budgetary move following the presidential election in March 2018, but the plan may require some very unpopular measures. Is Russia’s leadership ready to take risks?

Environment International

The drawbacks of Arctic shipping

The Christophe de Margerie is the first vessel to navigate the Northern Sea Route without an icebreaker escort. This is exciting news for states and businesses interested in exploiting new opportunities in the Arctic. However, the NSR is not as promising at it may seem, and the speed of climate change in the region brings significant risks.   

Europe Politics

The Czech Republic’s fractious politics hold a lesson for Europe

The latest news from the Czech Republic confirms a worrying trend for European politics, as populist and anti-immigration forces unite against perceived injustices and interference from the establishment in Brussels.

Economics Europe

The U.S. blacklist of Russian oligarchs: what is the real impact?

The blacklist’s signaling effect will be significant – creating perceived risks for US or EU companies in working with listed persons and their companies.