Tag "Libya"

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Africa Security

Libya – The Impacts of the Ceasefire on Libyan Politics

On 21 August 2020, the UN-backed Government of National Accord (GNA) based in Tripoli and its rival administration controlling Eastern Libya announced their commitment to a ceasefire and to finding a political solution to the conflict that has ravaged the country since 2011. So far, the truce has been successful in preventing further violence. However, it has opened the door to political infighting within both parties which could compromise the overall inter-Libyan dialogue. 

Insights

Khalifa Haftar’s offensive in Libya

Khalifa Haftar’s offensive on Tripoli, launched in April 2019, has been a setback. But the retired field Marshall is not finished.

Middle East/North Africa Security

Peace remains remote prospect for Libya

Since the 2011 revolution and the overthrow of Muhammar Gaddhafi, Libya has been engulfed by violence and political instability. Recent clashes that erupted in the capital have once again raised concerns about the future of the country.

Europe Politics

Matteo Salvini and the risk of populism

Recent disputes between Italy’s interior minister and the EU are symptomatic of the failure of member states and the EU as an institution to live up to their ideals.

Europe Middle East/North Africa Security

The Security Briefing: Libya, Lebanon, and Italy’s new defense minister

The latest Security Briefing from GRI Senior Analyst Nicolò Donà dalle Rose focuses on the appointment of Italy’s new Minister of Defense and its impact on Italian involvement in Libya and Lebanon, as well as Italy’s broader foreign policy stance.

Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy Security Special Reports

The Energy Briefing: The never-ending battle for Libya’s Oil Crescent

The competition for the control of state revenues remains tense as Haftar’s Libyan National Army intensified its attempts to seize key institutions ahead of December 2018 elections. Although oil production increased in 2017, continuing insecurity due to armed groups still largely constrain Libya’s oil potential.

Insights

Jihadism’s staying power in North Africa

The North Africa-based al-Qaeda affiliate AQIM has recently undertaken a variety of organizational reforms apparently aimed at centralizing the group’s decision-making and control. These reforms will likely help make it

Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy

The slow recovery of Libya’s oil industry

While forecasts suggest that production could reach 1.25 million barrels per day by the end of the year, several factors could affect the revival of the oil industry.

International Middle East/North Africa Security

Why the Qatari-Arab tension may remain despite possible settlements

On the 6th of June, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Bahrain and the UAE announced in a coordinated move to cut diplomatic ties with Qatar.

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead

Election in South Korea could alter geopolitical equations in East Asia. Libya deal appears increasingly likely. Pressure on Greece to adopt reform package.