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India Politics South and Central Asia

Sher Bahadur Deuba’s Victory: What Does it Mean for Nepal’s Neighbourhood?

The electoral turmoil in Nepal witnessed a new development, when on the 20th of December, 2020 the nation’s president, Bidya Devi Bhandari dissolved its parliament. Months of uncertainty in Government, coupled with the disastrous impact of the pandemic drove the nation to a political stalemate, until Sher Bahadur Deuba secured the position of Prime Minister with the backing of the parliament. What is the future course that the new Nepalese government will take and how will it shape their future in the region?   K.P Sharma Oli’s exit has stalled China’s rapprochement of Nepal, leaving a vacuum that can be filled by neighbouring aspirations from India. Nepal’s future in the South Asian neighbourhood will be marked by its management of the two regional powers, and a potential balancing act that can protect its self interests.

International South and Central Asia

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon: How Delhi is losing the Indian-Chinese soft power game in Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka has increasingly become a focus of China’s Belt and Road Initiative in the last decade. The Hambantota port development project is a notable example, an ambitious but costly endeavour by former President Mahinda Rajapaksa, which was in the end handed over by the government to a Chinese enterprise on a 99-year lease in 2017 to reduce its spiralling debt burden.

International Politics

Russian-Indian Arms Trade: Between Autarky and Interdependence

India recently launched an ambitious indigenization campaign for its defense industries, seeking to reduce its dependency on arms imports and simultaneously boost domestic manufacturing. Although this could potentially hurt the Russian military industry – India’s main supplier – India’s plans seem to mostly consist of rhetoric. It remains unlikely for the short to medium term that India will be able to effectuate the strategic shift from being dependent on imports to being self-reliant.

India Security

Rising tensions in Eastern-Ladakh – Wider Foreign Policy Implications

In recent history, tensions between China and India over control of the Galwan Valley have never been as high. Whereas China has the upperhand in the border dispute, India is trying to find other ways to frustrate China in its search to increase its geopolitical influence over the region.

Insights

India: Impact of COVID-19 on adoption of BS-VI norms

On the 1st of April 2020, India adopted the BS-VI emission norms. The move places India in a select group of economies with Euro VI-compliant fuels. However, the move to low sulphur transport fuel is fraught with downside risk given the impact of COVID 19 on the Indian economy. The capital-intensive move by refineries and automobile manufacturers has now moved into a stage where the revival of demand and coordinated price adjustment is essential for cost recovery. 

China India

China warns India over potential Huawei ban

China has threatened to punish Indian companies operating on the mainland. It will take such action if the Indian Government moves to ban Huawei Technologies from selling 5G telecom equipment

Security Under The Radar

An Indian Space Odyssey: Security and Economy

Several ISRO initiatives concerning the Indian space programme have been conducted. These reflect India’s growing wealth and technological capability.  

India Insights

India and Regional Trade in the Indo-Pacific

There are growing concerns over whether India will accept zero tariffs on the majority of imported goods from China. RCEP negotiations illuminate the crossover between politics and economics in the Indo-Pacific.

India Politics

Indian Elections 2019: Whose Sarkar?

India is heading towards national elections asking ‘abki baar, kiski sarkar’ – whose government are the people going to get? Modi or Gandhi? GRI’s Acting Editor-In-Chief analysis the potential outcomes of the elections.

India Security

India’s move towards collective security in the Indian Ocean

India continues to counter China’s regional influence by extending its coastal surveillance radar systems (CSRS) project to the Republic of Maldives, a country with key shipping lanes in the Indian Ocean. The extension of the initiative to the Maldives will build up regional maritime domain awareness, and strengthen the security and economic network of littoral countries.