Tag "Donald Trump"
OZY+GRI: Could this interest rate cliff-edge cripple the US economy?
Out-of-control inflation in the US is a gray rhino — a high-impact, negative occurrence that is rationalized until it is too late. The government’s response, though, could lead to a true black swan: a low-frequency, high-impact event that no one sees coming.
Keeping Guantanamo open is a long-term strategic error
Trump’s decision to maintain the Guantanamo Bay facility risks further worsening relations with key Arab and European allies while providing a recruitment incentive for lone-wolf terrorists and other non-state actors.
The U.S. blacklist of Russian oligarchs: what is the real impact?
The blacklist’s signaling effect will be significant – creating perceived risks for US or EU companies in working with listed persons and their companies.
Gains from inter-Korean Olympic diplomacy at risk without U.S. engagement
To extend the temporary Olympics thaw into a long-term opportunity, the U.S. and South Korea have to work together. However, it seems likely that Seoul and Washington will remain divided on the path ahead.
Opportunity slips away as disagreements over NAFTA continue
President Donald Trump will face major decisions around trade in 2018, especially with regard to the 24-year old North American Free Trade Act (NAFTA).
Will the US midterms spell the end of #MAGA?
Could Trump’s low approval ratings and legislative shortcomings clear the path to a Democrat majority in Congress and derail his vision for America?
The Week Ahead: 14-20 January 2018
German coalition building. Greek labor protests. Fallout from Trump’s faux pas. Tunisia protests. All in The Week Ahead.
The trillion dollar question: will Trump fix America’s infrastructure?
Fresh off passing a major tax reform bill, the Republican-led Congress enters the new year with positive momentum. However, serious obstacles remain to Trump’s prize infrastructure bill.
Navigating the troubled US-Pakistan relationship
After accusing Pakistan of not doing enough to stop terrorism, Washington is now withholding $255 million in assistance to the country. Will this push the country towards China?
NAFTA 2.0 negotiations: Why Trump may back off
After six rounds of talks in 2017 between Canada, Mexico and the United States to renegotiate NAFTA, parties still appear far from consensus.
