Tag "anti-government protests"

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Europe Security

Belarus and Russia: Will Putin Back Lukashenko or Watch his Downfall?

Belarus and Russia have been experiencing a deterioration in their relationship for years now. However, the current protests sweeping Belarus in light of the elections of August 2020, which controversially found President Lukashenko to have secured 80% of the vote, could prove to be a turning point for the already tenuous alliance between the two former Soviet states. President Putin has hitherto been cautiously supportive of Lukashenko to the extent that Moscow is still able to exercise flexibility of action. Examining current and previous developments between the two states in light of the crisis in Ukraine in 2014, the best option for Putin remains to refrain from interference for the time being. 

Europe Insights

Belarusian Protests: Russia’s Reluctance

Russia seems unlikely to intervene in anti-Lukashenko protests in Belarus, despite what most Western and Russian news sources report. Instead, they reluctantly stand on the sidelines, unwilling to oust the President, but unwilling to support him either.

Europe Politics

Where do the Yellow Vests stand?

More violence has broken out in France over President Macron’s proposed reforms. Will the Yellow Vests movement fade or is the unrest set to continue? Much depends on Macron’s image and the movement he is able to put together. 

Europe Politics

Serbia takes to the streets

Since November 30, anti-government protests have been held across Serbia, including seven in the capital city of Belgrade. Thousands of people have attended. Previous protest campaigns against the current government have failed to bring real change. Will these protests be any different?

Economics Europe

Belarus will not be the “next Ukraine”

The weak status of Belarus’ opposition and the economic interest found in maintaining Russian interests indicate the country will remain stable.

Middle East/North Africa Politics

ISIS feeds on Iraq’s political instability and oil

Iraq needs to immediately accomplish major, comprehensive development projects in order to finally establish a stable and viable Iraqi state.

Economics Middle East/North Africa

Egypt-Saudi islands deal comes amid structural economic issues

Protests against deal with Saudi Arabia over Tiran and Sanafir islands highlight structural economic issues and political tensions in Egypt.

Politics Sub-Saharan Africa

With Ebola epidemic and political instability, Guinea faces an economic disaster

Violent anti-government protests occurred last week in Conakry over insecurity and the electoral timetable. With rising political instability and the Ebola epidemic yet to be contained, Guinea is facing an

Economics International The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Russia and Ukraine announce a new round of gas talks as Ukraine feels financial strains. Argentine farming coalitions plan protests. Australia considers cutting interest rates. U.S. Congress debates the funding

Politics South and Central Asia

Pakistan caught in soft military coup

After a smooth transition of power for the first time in Pakistan’s history, there was a glimmer of hope that the powerful army would resist meddling in political affairs. However,