Latest Insights
Signs that Russia’s leadership may be ready for tax reform
The Kremlin is considering a major budgetary move following the presidential election in March 2018, but the plan may require some very unpopular measures. Is Russia’s leadership ready to take risks?
Could China overtake the the US in AI development?
US-based companies have long been considered industry-leaders in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). As the Chinese government prioritizes state support for AI development, will the US be left behind?
The drawbacks of Arctic shipping
The Christophe de Margerie is the first vessel to navigate the Northern Sea Route without an icebreaker escort. This is exciting news for states and businesses interested in exploiting new opportunities in the Arctic. However, the NSR is not as promising at it may seem, and the speed of climate change in the region brings significant risks.
Will Saudi Arabia’s latest megacity venture deliver on the hype?
In the process of diversifying its economy to become less reliant on its oil reserves, Saudi Arabia recently announced the launch of a megacity and special economic zone called Neom. GRI assesses its potential.
The importance of the FARC’s 2018 political campaign
On January 27, Rodrigo Londoño began his campaign for president of Colombia. Will this move help the FARC achieve greater acceptance and further the peace process, despite the unlikelihood of a political victory?
Keeping Guantanamo open is a long-term strategic error
Trump’s decision to maintain the Guantanamo Bay facility risks further worsening relations with key Arab and European allies while providing a recruitment incentive for lone-wolf terrorists and other non-state actors.
Interview: Europe’s crime-terror nexus
Evidence suggests that criminal and jihadist milieus are more and more intertwined, challenging established beliefs about the incompatibility of criminal behavior and religious Islamic fundamentalism.
The Week Ahead: 4 – 10 February 2018
Nepal faces upper chamber elections. Another budget vote looms in the US Congress. All in The Week Ahead
Under the Radar: Ethiopia’s economic growth offers opportunities and challenges
Ethiopia is booming, with manufacturing, energy and infrastructure leading the way. But the weak private sector and cracks in the federalist political model pose risks to further growth and investment.
Emerging technologies: implications for CBRN terrorism
Emergent technologies are likely to have major implications with regards to chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN) terrorism. While the CBRN overall threat level is still low, developments in technology could leverage its impact in the future.
