Latest Insights
India looks east, but is it ready to act?
India can still present itself as a credible counterweight to China, but not without embracing international norms of accountability.
Argentina and Brazil push for a Mercosur agreement with the EU
2017 promised to be a decisive year for the trade agreement between Mercosur and the European Union given Brazil and Argentina’s strong efforts to finalize the deal. However, due to
ELN poses long-term risk to Colombia’s oil and gas industry
Hours after the ninety-day ceasefire between the Colombian government and the ELN ended, the last remaining guerrilla in the country demonstrated why foreign investment will not be returning anytime soon.
The Czech Republic’s fractious politics hold a lesson for Europe
The latest news from the Czech Republic confirms a worrying trend for European politics, as populist and anti-immigration forces unite against perceived injustices and interference from the establishment in Brussels.
Lula’s path to re-election just got a little more complicated…
Lula is the main source of uncertainty for Brazil, so the increased chances of him not being allowed to run boost optimism for a pro-reform candidate.
The Week Ahead: 28 January-3 February 2018
Trump’s State of the Union. Turkey intensifies operations in Turkey. Merkel mends her coalition. All this in The Week Ahead.
The U.S. blacklist of Russian oligarchs: what is the real impact?
The blacklist’s signaling effect will be significant – creating perceived risks for US or EU companies in working with listed persons and their companies.
Media crackdown a bad sign for Myanmar
Continued targeting of journalists will compromise the government’s political legitimacy and create greater reputational risks for foreign investors.
Gains from inter-Korean Olympic diplomacy at risk without U.S. engagement
To extend the temporary Olympics thaw into a long-term opportunity, the U.S. and South Korea have to work together. However, it seems likely that Seoul and Washington will remain divided on the path ahead.
Australia’s Asia-Pacific trade balancing act
The Trump administration’s mixed messages on its security and trade relationships in the Asia-Pacific is forcing Australia into a more assertive trade role.
