Security
An old dispute re-emerges as Russia militarises Kuril Islands
A long-standing territorial dispute continues to disrupt relations between Japan and Russia. This is negatively impacting economic cooperation between the two countries, with the potential to be detrimental for both parties.
Interview: Prospects for investment in Syria’s reconstruction
With ISIS seemingly on the retreat, what can we expect security risks in Syria to look like in 2018? GRI asked Syria expert Rasmus Jacobsen – co-founder and head of analysis for Atlas Assistance, a Beirut-based risk management company – to weigh in.
Warning signs of instability in Egypt
The latest data from our Risk Pulse collaboration show major increases in potential instability and unrest. Social and political conditions in Egypt are ripe for another revolutionary wave.
Venezuela crisis spills over into Colombia
Colombia’s immigration crisis represents an unprecedented challenge, raising political instability and threatening the peace deal that took decades to achieve.
The growing insurgent threat in Egypt’s Western desert
Egypt faces a growing threat of militancy in its Western desert as combat-hardened Sunni extremists have been solidifying their positions along the Libyan border.
Turkey’s southern ambitions
While the world is focusing on Turkey’s actions in Syria, President Erdogan’s recent visit to Africa signals Turkey’s intentions to expand its impact on a much larger scale around the Red Sea.
Philippine claim on Sabah will undermine regional security efforts
The recent proposal by a Filipino government representative to amend the Philippine constitution, to include Sabah within a federal system, will likely be shunned. The potential inclusion of Sabah risks legitimising fringe political voices and unsettling Malaysia-Philippine bilateral relations.
The Security Briefing: Peace prospects for the Central African Republic
The Central African Republic’s security situation has been deteriorating since 2013. Will an increased United Nations presence and a new election be able to reconcile the deeply divided country?
Keeping Guantanamo open is a long-term strategic error
Trump’s decision to maintain the Guantanamo Bay facility risks further worsening relations with key Arab and European allies while providing a recruitment incentive for lone-wolf terrorists and other non-state actors.
Interview: Europe’s crime-terror nexus
Evidence suggests that criminal and jihadist milieus are more and more intertwined, challenging established beliefs about the incompatibility of criminal behavior and religious Islamic fundamentalism.
