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Middle East/North Africa Politics

Al-Bashir is planning his own exit

Omar Al-Bashir, the embattled president, will step down from power by appointing a successor who will not hand him over to the International Criminal Court. However, his selection will result in a military takeover that will remove the entire regime from power.

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Energy and security in the Eastern Mediterranean

The discovery of hydrocarbons in the Eastern Mediterranean’s Levant Basin has created new regional security dynamics. The quest for power and influence hinders energy and economic cooperation.

Asia Pacific Insights Politics

Lessons from Hanoi with Prof Stephan Haggard

Donald Trump was widely criticised for walking away in Hanoi but the disappointing end of the summit holds prospects for a more realistic approach to denuclearisation. With input from Prof Stephan Haggard, here is some insight into what really happened in Hanoi and what we can expect to happen next.

Politics Sub-Saharan Africa

South Sudan: Post civil war instability

September’s peace deal in South Sudan was greeted with apprehensive relief. Now scepticism is rising.

Europe Politics

Italy: Likelihood of general elections

The recent regional elections in Abruzzo and Sardinia have highlighted the contrasting political fortunes of the two populist parties that make up Italy’s coalition government.

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Kurdistan Region stalls government formation

The last several years have been turbulent for the oil-rich Kurdistan Region. The local elections in September represented an opportunity to introduce some stability.

Politics South and Central Asia

Sino-Russian alignment in reality: The case of Central Asia

This article presents an assessment of what the Sino-Russian relationship mean for Central Asia and the United States, in the short and long term.

Asia Pacific Politics

A change in the East Asian balance of power? The implications of the Trump-Kim Summit

Ever since the end of the Korean War in 1953, the United States and South Korea have formed a liberal democratic alliance, in opposition to the communist North Korea. Although the two allies have encountered ups and downs throughout the decades, recent developments gave hope that a fundamental change to the nature of America’s engagements in the Korean peninsula might occur. However, President Trump’s last two summits with Kim Jong-un have made little progress, and questions concerning how to successfully engage North Korea persist.

Europe Politics

America and Europe: Growing differences over Iran

The United States’ and Poland’s co-hosted conference in Europe is a controversial event. It has united some American allies around President Donald Trump’s aggressive anti-Iran posturing while alienating some others.

Europe Politics

France and Italy: Growing tensions in Europe

France recalled its ambassador to Rome this month, for the first time since 1940, in a move which exemplifies a deepening diplomatic rift with Italy. Discord has been rumbling for months. This article explains why recent relations have become strained and how they could play out during 2019.