Middle East/North Africa
2018 Iranian Protests: A Second Revolution on the Way in Iran?
What started off as protests spurred on by the deteriorating economic conditions in Iran and the inflation in prices of basic necessities, escalated into a rebellion against the Islamic Republic itself. But is there a risk of another social and political uprising?
What’s behind the upcoming western military intervention in Syria?
With a new intervention into the Syrian conflict set to unfold, strategic interests meet political ones for presidents Trump and Macron.
50 years after the Battle of Karameh, Jordan faces new uncertainty
Fifty years ago, an armed confrontation between Israel, Jordan, and Palestinian guerrillas created a new phase of Middle East diplomacy and conflicts. What does the battle’s legacy tell us about Jordan and its place in the troubled region today?
Israel and Iran on the path to escalation
Tensions have been simmering since an Iranian drone and an Israeli F-16 were shot down at the Syria-Israel border. More incidents and additional quarrels over the Iran Nuclear Deal could lead to more grievous confrontations between the parties involved.
Tunisia’s phosphate mines – between a rock and a hard place
The ongoing strikes in Tunisia’s phosphate mines offer a valuable insight into structural deficits of the Tunisian economy.
Interview: Prospects for investment in Syria’s reconstruction
With ISIS seemingly on the retreat, what can we expect security risks in Syria to look like in 2018? GRI asked Syria expert Rasmus Jacobsen – co-founder and head of analysis for Atlas Assistance, a Beirut-based risk management company – to weigh in.
Warning signs of instability in Egypt
The latest data from our Risk Pulse collaboration show major increases in potential instability and unrest. Social and political conditions in Egypt are ripe for another revolutionary wave.
The growing insurgent threat in Egypt’s Western desert
Egypt faces a growing threat of militancy in its Western desert as combat-hardened Sunni extremists have been solidifying their positions along the Libyan border.
Turkey’s southern ambitions
While the world is focusing on Turkey’s actions in Syria, President Erdogan’s recent visit to Africa signals Turkey’s intentions to expand its impact on a much larger scale around the Red Sea.
Will Saudi Arabia’s latest megacity venture deliver on the hype?
In the process of diversifying its economy to become less reliant on its oil reserves, Saudi Arabia recently announced the launch of a megacity and special economic zone called Neom. GRI assesses its potential.