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Europe Politics

Turkey’s elections: the long term risks of an Erdogan win

The result could be the final straw in a fractured relationship with the West that moves Turkey ever closer to Russia and illiberalism and away from its NATO allies and EU membership aspirations and might make Erdogan the most powerful leader since Ataturk.

Europe Politics

The populist coalition in Italy and its impact on European politics  

The populist coalition of the Five Star Movement (M5S) and League is likely to rattle Italian and European politics with a new approach to governance, and risks fracturing relationships with the dominant powers on the continent – namely France and Germany.

Europe Politics

Will Brexit be the backdoor to a united Ireland?

Amid doubts over whether Theresa May can deliver a Brexit deal that avoids a hard Irish border, Winthrop Rodgers assesses whether the result will be a renewed push for a united Ireland.

Europe Politics

Albania’s religious harmony endures in the face of new challenges

Last week, the leaders of each of Albania’s religious communities reaffirmed their commitment to continued interfaith dialogue. Such dialogue has been an important factor in Albania’s political stability, although the religious establishment will face challenges in mitigating new forms of extremism and division.

Europe Security

US antitank missiles risk escalating the Ukrainian conflict

The recent delivery of US antitank missiles to Ukraine risks escalating the ongoing conflict with Russian-backed forces in the east of the country. If not accompanied by a concrete strategy, US support also risks driving a wedge between Ukraine and the EU, generating weaknesses which Moscow can then exploit.

Economics Europe

Britain’s black money crackdown: treading a fine line

The UK is getting tough on the proceeds of foreign corruption at a time of heightened tensions with Russia. Downing Street will be keen to limit any further fallout with Moscow by adopting the right punitive measures.

Economics Europe

Disagreements on eurozone reform impact economic outlook

Emmanuel Macron’s ambitious plans to reform eurozone institutions received a further setback when German chancellor Angela Merkel toed her party’s line and rejected some of his bolder proposals when the two met in Berlin last week.

Europe Politics

Elections in Hungary point to growing rift between East and West

With the re-election of Fidesz party leader, Viktor Orbán for a third term, Hungary joins Poland and Italy in the rising tide of right-wing governments.

Europe Politics

The “Velvet Revolution” in Armenia: Cosmetic change or potential for democratic development?

On the 23rd of April, Armenian Prime Minister and ex-President Serzh Sargsyan unexpectedly resigned his post after almost two weeks of mass protests. People in the streets celebrated the change, but where will Armenia go from here?

Europe Middle East/North Africa Politics

The not-so-uncertain future of British-Iranian relations

In August 2015, after four years of closure, the British Embassy in Tehran reopened its doors. As Ambassador to the Islamic Republic, Nicholas Hopton, is a seasoned diplomat familiar with the Gulf region with previous experience serving as Ambassador to Qatar.