Global Risk Insights | Political Risk for the 21st century

South Sudan: Post civil war instability

September’s peace deal in South Sudan was greeted with apprehensive relief. Now scepticism is rising.

New Pirates of the Caribbean: Growing instability in Venezuela

Globally, the threat of piracy has been tackled with impressive and effective joint international efforts. In some parts of the world, though, the threat is growing.

Italy: Likelihood of general elections

The recent regional elections in Abruzzo and Sardinia have highlighted the contrasting political fortunes of the two populist parties that make up Italy’s coalition government.

Kurdistan Region stalls government formation

The last several years have been turbulent for the oil-rich Kurdistan Region. The local elections in September represented an opportunity to introduce some stability.

Politics

South Sudan: Post civil war instability

March 19, 2019 by William Charnley

September’s peace deal in South Sudan was greeted with apprehensive relief. Now scepticism is rising.

Italy: Likelihood of general elections

March 14, 2019

Kurdistan Region stalls government formation

March 13, 2019

Sino-Russian alignment in reality: The case of Central Asia

March 6, 2019

A change in the East Asian balance of power? The implications of the Trump-Kim Summit

March 6, 2019

America and Europe: Growing differences over Iran

March 5, 2019

Economics

Russia: Michael Calvey’s shock arrest

March 8, 2019 by Rebecca Emerick

Renowned investment mogul, Michael Calvey, is currently held in pretrial detention by Moscow authorities.

Argentina: Economic doldrums pose electoral risk

January 21, 2019

Myanmar is set to embrace Xi’s Belt and Road Initiative

January 4, 2019

International agreements: a sprinkle of optimism

December 4, 2018

Can Kosovo’s tariffs on Bosnia and Serbia last?

November 23, 2018

The Energy Briefing: AMLO’s nationalist agenda clouds future for Mexico’s energy sector

November 8, 2018

Finance

Default of IL&FS sends shockwaves through India’s financial markets

October 22, 2018 by Aman Navani

A series of defaults by India’s key infrastructure lender, Infrastructure Leasing and Financial Services Limited (IL&FS), has sparked fears about the health of other non-bank lenders and led to a squeeze in India’s corporate debt market that these lenders have relied upon.

The Week Ahead: 9-15 September

September 10, 2018

Dollar appreciation against the real likely to impact Brazil’s economic recovery

September 9, 2018

Belt and Road Initiative increases sovereign debt risks in Tajikistan

July 23, 2018

Erdogan’s lira problem

June 13, 2018

OZY+GRI: Can Emperor Yuan dethrone King Dollar as the world’s currency?

March 1, 2018

Security

Japan: military expansion and instability in East Asia

February 22, 2019 by Alin Barbantan

With an incursive China, relaxing American input and an ambiguous Trump-Kim relationship, Japan bolsters its military capabilities to face uncertain times.

Brexit effect on security in the UK

February 7, 2019

UAE’s relations with Somalia flounder over Qatar

February 1, 2019

Yemen – Hopeful Ceasefire in Hodeida

January 20, 2019

Bridging the Gap in Emerging Technology: “Overmatch”

January 18, 2019

Kosovo: Creating a full army out of its security force

January 14, 2019

Natural Resources

Russia is gradually developing its Arctic LNG strategy

December 13, 2018 by Yueyi Chen

Due to its geographic location, natural resource extraction in the Arctic circle is strategically important for Russia’s overall energy strategy. At the same time, Russia is gradually shifting away from the traditional state-controlled gas trade through pipelines and is increasing its LNG production.

An unlikely partnership in New Zealand leads the way on biosecurity

Technology

The final iron curtain for Russia’s internet?