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Asia Pacific Security

Trump vs Kim: The art of the nuclear deal

The US and North Korea are likely to attempt diplomacy for a few months, but impossible expectations and intentionally vague promises could frustrate both sides. If this causes the deal to fall through, bilateral tensions could boil over once again.

North America Security

Keeping Guantanamo open is a long-term strategic error

Trump’s decision to maintain the Guantanamo Bay facility risks further worsening relations with key Arab and European allies while providing a recruitment incentive for lone-wolf terrorists and other non-state actors.

Economics North America

Trump and the ‘normalisation’ of relations with Cuba

On 8 November, Washington imposed fresh sanctions on Cuba, targeting the tourism and business industries. Is this a return to Cold War politics?

Economics North America

NAFTA e-commerce limits likely to rise, but at what cost?

Proposed changes are inevitable, but could put many traditional retailers out of business, creating a complex political decision for NAFTA leaders.

Politics Power Brokers Security

Saudi Crown Prince clears a path to the throne

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is spearheading an anti-corruption drive in Saudi. Here’s why the long term impact should be positive.

Asia Pacific Security

Trump’s Asia tour: don’t expect any breakthroughs on North Korea

Dominating the agenda of Trump’s Asia tour is the looming threat from North Korea. Yet his bellicose posture is likely to be an impediment to diplomacy.

Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 5 – 11 November

Argentine Central Bank rate change. Brexit talks restart. Trump goes to Asia. US tax changes. All in the Week Ahead.

North America Security

The one thing that could make Trump move on gun control

In the aftermath of the mass shooting in Las Vegas, there will be renewed calls for tighter gun control in the US. A ban on assault weapons, longer waiting periods,

International Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy Politics Security

Referendum in Kurdistan: A risky gamble in a volatile region

Nearly 93% of eligible voters in Kurdistan have cast their ballot in favour of independence. Although technically the referendum is non-binding, it does represent a new and potentially dangerous phase

South and Central Asia

A stellar power in the making? The role of India in the global space economy

This year has been a milestone for India in terms of increasing its competitiveness in the growing global space industry.