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Middle East/North Africa Security

Syrian conflict headed in dangerous new direction

A number of factors suggest that the Syrian conflict is heading into a dangerous new direction for the West and the opposition forces.

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

The Philippines goes to the polls. Russia and the West continue negotiations over Ukraine. Brazil closes in on impeachment proceedings. Key conferences take place in the Middle East and Latin America. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook.

Asia Pacific Security

Japan needs its own agenda to better trade ties with Russia

Recently, Sergey Lavrov visited Japan to discuss bilateral cooperation. The visit’s real aim was to stress the value to Russia of a more independent Japan.

Economics Middle East/North Africa

Just how bad is the state of Turkey’s tourism sector?

With Ankara facing internal and external security threats, as well as tensions with Russia, Turkey’s tourism sector is paying the price.

Economics Europe

Montenegro: another Balkan nation to experience unrest

Montenegro is currently experiencing instability over its proposed membership of NATO, corruption allegations and anticipated elections later this year. Uncertainty blights the countries of the former Yugoslavia. Crisis has gripped

Economics Europe

Economic risk associated with new Russian National Guard

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s recent creation of a new National Guard reflects the administration’s concerns with multiple potential internal security threats. These threats are magnified by Russia’s continued economic downturn

International Politics

G7 foreign ministers meeting: Turning the heat on China

G7 foreign ministers convened in Japan last week. Although heads of states won’t meet in Japan until next month, this meeting gives a hint of the priorities of the group, and more widely the West and its key allies in the Asia-Pacific region

Europe Politics

Yatsenyuk’s resignation highlights Ukraine’s structural issues

Prime Minister Yatsenyuk’s resignation highlights structural governance issues in Ukraine, underscoring the risks posed by a high degree of corruption.

Economics Europe

Putin emerges as a winner in the Panama Papers scandal

the Panama Papers revelations of corruption will not pose a  significant threat to the stability of Putin’s regime but will worsen Russia-US relations and the country’s image in the West.

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Greece begins sending back migrants to Turkey. Peruvians head to the polls. Reserve Bank of Australia reacts to changes in AUD. Netherlands votes on EU-Ukraine agreement.  All in the Weekly Risk Outlook.