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Europe Security

US antitank missiles risk escalating the Ukrainian conflict

The recent delivery of US antitank missiles to Ukraine risks escalating the ongoing conflict with Russian-backed forces in the east of the country. If not accompanied by a concrete strategy, US support also risks driving a wedge between Ukraine and the EU, generating weaknesses which Moscow can then exploit.

Economics Europe

Britain’s black money crackdown: treading a fine line

The UK is getting tough on the proceeds of foreign corruption at a time of heightened tensions with Russia. Downing Street will be keen to limit any further fallout with Moscow by adopting the right punitive measures.

International Natural resources and energy

Re-imposing sanctions on Iran: oil market implications

The looming threat of renewed US sanctions on Iran’s oil and gas sector could pull hundreds of thousands of barrels off the market, tightening demand balances and throwing off investment plans.

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 15 – 21 April 2018

Cuban Assembly selects Raul Castro’s successor. Paraguay votes for president. Tensions in Syria escalate. IMF-World Bank meetings take place. All in The Week Ahead. 

Natural resources and energy North America

Assessing the Trump doctrine of “energy dominance”

If the US is to wield energy as a weapon, it will be perceived as an unreliable supplier, and risk moving at cross-purposes with the system of free and open energy markets that it has promoted for decades.

Europe Politics

Putin’s next 6 years: shadow of stagnation or light of reform?

After his record landslide victory on March 18, with serious economic and political challenges ahead, Russian President Vladimir Putin has his work cut out.

Middle East/North Africa Security

What’s behind the upcoming western military intervention in Syria?

With a new intervention into the Syrian conflict set to unfold, strategic interests meet political ones for presidents Trump and Macron.

Europe Security

Chapter Review: Russian military reform and lessons learned in Ukraine

In a chapter of the Jamestown Foundation’s upcoming book on Russia’s Armed Forces, Roger McDermott argues that the ongoing process of military reform in Russia is closely informed by the conflict in eastern Ukraine. While the Kremlin still denies its direct involvement, McDermott argues that publicly available information is sufficient to decipher the lessons that Russia’s Armed Forces have learned in Donbass.

International Politics The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 18 – 24 March 2018

Impeachment proceedings begin against Peruvian President Kuczynski. UK sanctions against Russia likely to escalate. US tariffs expected to take effect. All in the Week Ahead

Europe Security

On Russia, Theresa May’s options are limited and ineffective at best

Theresa May’s demands for an explanation of the nerve gas incident are almost certain to be ignored by the Kremlin, but the real risks would lie in pursuing an escalation.