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Economics International Politics The Week Ahead

GRI Weekly Risk Outlook

Putin visits India to reach out on energy, defense. Crude oil reaches new lows as economies thrive on cheap energy. US likely to avoid a repeat of 2013 shutdown. Eurozone ministers

Economics South and Central Asia

Rocky ride for Russia’s economy set to continue

Western sanctions and falling oil prices have cost Russia over $160 billion and have been “catastrophic” for the Russian economy. Despite this, the Russian leadership is unlikely to alter its provocative

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Russia is further isolated by supporting Syria’s regime

Russia is still holding up the Assad regime economically, politically, and militarily. However, the rapidly unfolding situation in Syria’s civil war may put Putin’s strongest Middle East alliance in jeopardy.

Natural resources and energy South and Central Asia

New oil tax laws in Russia could backfire

Eurasian integration in the new Eurasian Economic Union forces Russia to introduce a so called “tax maneuver” in its oil industry with negative consequences. Eurasian economic and political integration acquired special importance

Europe Politics

More sanctions for Russia from U.S, Europe

As Russia’s direct incursion in Ukraine’s Southeast elevates the conflict to a new and more dangerous level, the clash in the Eastern Europe is nowhere near its conclusion. As a

International Politics

Will a partnership emerge between Israel and Ukraine?

In the midst of respective civil conflicts, Israel and Ukraine find themselves being drawn closer together. A strengthened partnership between the two countries could yield a number of strategic dividends.

Natural resources and energy South and Central Asia

India begins to address energy security

How India chooses to address its energy security concerns will offer clues towards Modi’s foreign policy plans and the kind of power India will be in the next century. Loosely

Europe Security

Will Ukraine retake the East from separatists?

Ukraine is on the road to re-establishing its control of the East, but serious issues still remain, making it vulnerable to Moscow’s wishes. On August 4th, Ukrainian forces began operations

Economics South and Central Asia

Russia’s growing middle class favours status quo

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s soaring popularity amidst his support for separatists in eastern Ukraine has highlighted the importance of the relationship between his government and Russia’s growing middle class. The

Politics South and Central Asia

Russia seeks to strengthen ties with Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan, Armenia and Georgia – the South Caucasus – continue to be an area of contention between the East and West. This area is of growing importance as the post-Soviet