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Economics Europe

Crimea in painful transition one year after referendum

One year after Russia seized control of Crimea, the peninsula is going through a painful economic transition. The region has lost 76% of investments, and new ones are unlikely to

Europe Security

Mariupol and Debaltseve bring Russia closer to military endgame

In Ukraine, the latest rebel assault on the strategic transport hub of Mariupol signals the possibility of a full-scale invasion to secure the Crimean peninsula. Following last weekend’s offensive on

Economics South and Central Asia

Eurasian Economic Union jeopardised by trade war

Fears of Russia’s declining ruble led Belarus’ government to impose a 30 percent commission on the purchase of foreign currency on December 19th. It comes just weeks before both former Soviet states

Europe Politics

For Turkey, Russian partnership is high risk-high reward

A Russia-Turkey partnership is in the offer, and with increasing domestic and international political pressure the two countries seem to be headed for a significant diplomatic relationship in the near future. A

Politics South and Central Asia

Kazakhstan becomes centrepiece in Eurasian diplomacy

In a phase of declining oil prices and economic storm in neighbouring Russia, Kazakhstan has engaged in intense diplomatic activity with the West and other Central Asian countries. Kazakhstan is

Economics International Politics The Week Ahead

GRI Weekly Risk Outlook

Putin visits India to reach out on energy, defense. Crude oil reaches new lows as economies thrive on cheap energy. US likely to avoid a repeat of 2013 shutdown. Eurozone ministers

Economics South and Central Asia

Rocky ride for Russia’s economy set to continue

Western sanctions and falling oil prices have cost Russia over $160 billion and have been “catastrophic” for the Russian economy. Despite this, the Russian leadership is unlikely to alter its provocative

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Russia is further isolated by supporting Syria’s regime

Russia is still holding up the Assad regime economically, politically, and militarily. However, the rapidly unfolding situation in Syria’s civil war may put Putin’s strongest Middle East alliance in jeopardy.

Natural resources and energy South and Central Asia

New oil tax laws in Russia could backfire

Eurasian integration in the new Eurasian Economic Union forces Russia to introduce a so called “tax maneuver” in its oil industry with negative consequences. Eurasian economic and political integration acquired special importance

Europe Politics

More sanctions for Russia from U.S, Europe

As Russia’s direct incursion in Ukraine’s Southeast elevates the conflict to a new and more dangerous level, the clash in the Eastern Europe is nowhere near its conclusion. As a