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Europe Security

The emerging Islamic State Threat in the North Caucasus

The expansion of Islamic State operations in the North Caucasus is part of the group’s wider international strategy. It also highlights ISIS ongoing power struggle with al-Qaeda-linked groups. Since the

Middle East/North Africa Security

Understanding Russia’s Syria pull-out

By GRI Analyst Nicolas Jenny and Senior Analyst Madeleine Moreau. Russia’s announcement this week that it “achieved its goals” in Syria came as a shock to the international community, as

North America Security

Regional powers critical to stability

Today’s international security environment is both vastly fluid and highly dangerous, with multiple threats on several fronts.  With the U.S. in relative decline as other states emerge and become more

Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy

3 reasons why Saudi Arabia will keep oil prices low

Despite a tentative agreement struck last week to freeze oil production, Saudi Arabia is likely to keep oil prices low for the foreseeable future. Last week Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, Qatar,

Europe Politics

Political developments in Ukraine raise risk of instability

Recent developments do not bode well for Ukraine’s political stability and conflict resolution efforts. Following an ease of violence lasting several months, fighting has once again shot up in eastern

International Natural resources and energy

Russia’s long-game in Antarctica runs political risk

Recent signals out of Moscow suggest the increasing consideration of Antarctica in Russia’s broader strategic vision, a destabilizing trend that risks triggering militarized competition among resource-seeking nations in a thus

International Security

Opinion: Putin’s political calculus in Syria harms Russian interests

In precluding cooperation with NATO in the pursuit of a number of narrow and limited benefits, Putin is missing the greater benefits of what Russia could achieve by working with,

Middle East/North Africa Security

Are Turkey and Russia headed for confrontation?

Turkey shoots down a Russian fighter jet. Sam Leonard explores what this means for the future of Turkish-Russian relations in this GRI Guest Post.  The news this morning that Turkey

Economics Latin America

US watches as Cuba and Russia strengthen economic ties

The last few weeks have seen marked escalations of business ties between Russia and Cuba. The US is watching this very closely. What can we expect, diplomatically and economically, as

Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Hollande makes case for alliance. Fed close to rate hike. Nigeria sets rates. Brazil makes major energy sale. Americans ready for biggest shopping day of the year. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. French