Tag "Columbia"

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Insights Latin America Politics

Enduring Denialism: A Threat to Sustainable Peace in Colombia

The 2016 peace deal between the FARC-EP guerrilla and the Colombian state has proven domestically polarising. Recently, the release of the final report of the Truth Commission has highlighted denialism as an important cause of persistent violence. Massive contestation of the report on behalf of the Colombian right thereby shows that this denialism is far from overcome. Rather, it poses significant challenges to the newly elected Petro administration as well as Colombia’s peacebuilding prospects more generally.

Latin America Politics

A Major Shift? The Significance of Colombia’s Upcoming Presidential Election

The results of Colombia’s 13th March presidential primary elections have shed light on who the leading candidates are for the country’s approaching presidential election on 29th May. Leader of the Historic Pact (Pacto Histórico) coalition and ex-guerrilla fighter Gustavo Petro stood out among his competitors by receiving 3 million votes, the largest number of votes received by any candidate during the primaries. Federico Gutiérrez, former mayor of Medellín, emerged as his closest competitor, netting around 1.4 million votes.

Latin America Power Brokers

Colombia’s Gulf Clan: The Capture of a Kingpin and the Future of Colombia’s Cartels

In late October 2021, the Colombian military captured Dairo Antonio “Otoniel” Usuga, the head of the Gulf Clan and one of Colombia’s most wanted drug kingpins. Although Colombian president Duque compared Otoniel’s capture to Pablo Escobar’s killing, the two men were dissimilar in most ways. Furthermore, Otoniel’s downfall is unlikely to have a positive effect on Colombia’s drug war, and may actually cause the violence to increase.

Latin America Technology and infrastructure

Startups in Latin America: A new engine for growth?

Can entrepreneurship and startups provide the solution to much-needed growth in Latin America? And, if so, how will this solution be achieved?

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Super Tuesday 2.0 looms. Argentine Congress ends creditor saga. Chinese Premier delivers press conference. EU, Turkish leaders meet. Colombia may raise rates. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. Super Tuesday 2.0: Big night for both

Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Markets expect Fed to hold rates. Japan weighs stimulus options, EU considers the same. Deutsche Bank to release review. Conference explores African energy trends. Colombia may raise interest rates. All in the Weekly

Latin America Natural resources and energy

Amid falling production, Latin American oil is caught in the doldrums

Latin America’s oil industries, long seen as a relatively safe investment, are now caught in a squeeze between low oil prices, intra-hemisphere competition, corruption scandals, and increasingly vocal local communities.

Latin America Politics

Colombia may see rise of left-wing populism

Colombia could see the rise of a firebrand leftist leader, much like Venezuela, Ecuador and Bolivia. The country has all the fundamentals: a political spectrum leaning strongly to the right,

Economics Latin America

What to expect in Latin America in 2015

In 2015, Latin America’s dominant extractive industries will have to deal with lower prices and lower international demand. But with political and economic challenges building, many governments may find themselves unable

Latin America Security

FARC peace process strained by new kidnapping

Colombia’s two year long peace talks between the government and the FARC were brought to a standstill on Sunday, November 16, following the capture of a top army general by