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Latin America Politics

Latin America – Russia’s Game in 2021: an Outlook

Latin America is at a turning point and there will be a lot at stake for Russia’s influence building in the region in 2021. The instability created by an unprecedented recession and an increased political polarisation in what promises to be a hectic electoral year as well as a more active US foreign policy after Trump’s neglect will probably increase Moscow’s appetite for the subcontinent.

Latin America Politics

Brazil – First 2022 Election Forecast

As the end of 2020 approaches, incipient forecasts about Brazil’s 2022 general election scenario start emerging. As the recent years — and even months — have insistently shown, new facts can easily move the needle towards unforeseen directions, which demands continuous monitoring and analysis. As of December 2020, however, these are the main insights for a forecast on the outcome of Brazil’s 2022 election for President.

Economics Latin America

Brazil: How is South America’s biggest economy poised to behave?

Last week Brazil’s COPOM (Committee for Monetary Policy) met to discuss the current economic environment, not only in Brazil but around the world. The meeting had one overall result, which was to maintain current interest rates. The country’s Taxa Selic will stay at 2% p.a. Although this event might not seem newsworthy, it tells us a great deal about the recovery of the South American economy.

Economics Europe

EU-Mercosur FTA: Threats and Challenges

When the European Commission announced the signing of the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement, it sounded like a done deal. However, the provisional text must be ratified by all the parliaments of adhering countries, including the European Parliament and Council.

Environment Latin America

Bolsonaro’s Environmental Policy: An Increasing Risk

President Jair Bolsonaro’s inauguration in January marked Brazil’s entry into the ranks of nations recently electing far-right leadership. In the first five months of his term, Bolsonaro’s r has drawn particular ire for altering environmental policies.

Latin America Politics

Brazil elects Jair Bolsonaro as its next president

In the most polarized election in the history of Brazil, the second round of the presidential election featured a far left and a far right candidate and split the electorate.

Latin America Politics

Maduro regime unfazed by condemnation

In a historic rebuke, five Latin American nations urged the ICC to investigate the regime of Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro for human rights abuses. Though this public denunciation is noteworthy, the main external threat to the Maduro regime comes not from its neighbors, but from Beijing.

International The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 30 September – 6 October

Elections in Cameroon, Brazil, and Latvia. Kavanaugh confirmation. All in The Week Ahead. BRAZIL: Significant tension as elections loom and far-right leader appears to be in the lead This Sunday, Brazil’s more than

Finance Latin America

Dollar appreciation against the real likely to impact Brazil’s economic recovery

The US dollar’s appreciation has caused concern regarding Brazil’s economic recovery – which has been driven by its internal market – given its pressure on inflation and the possible decrease in consumption as products become more expensive.

Economics Latin America

How market-friendly are Brazil’s presidential candidates? Part II

The 2018 presidential election is set to be the “election of hope” for the people of the country, but so far the race is wide open. GRI’s Lorena Valente revisits the candidates and how their views on the economy have evolved in recent months – or not.