Latest Insights
Is Nigeria on the brink of political collapse?
Between falling oil prices and instability in the country’s north linked to a militant insurgency by Boko Haram, Nigeria could be on the brink of social and political collapse. Nigeria must
China struggles to sustain GDP growth
Chinese economic growth has been high for years, but China’s economic forecasters and politicians have accepted that growth will even out. Chinese President Xi Jinping calls it the “new normal.”
GRI’s Weekly Risk Outlook
Turkish central bank to ease monetary policy further in wake of disinflationary pressures. Indian Reserve Bank to keep rates on hold until government reveals budget details, and Brazilian economy continues
Could Venezuela be headed for reform or revolt?
Rapidly declining world oil prices, a lack of basic goods in supermarkets, insecurity, and a more united opposition look set to make 2015 the most difficult year yet for Venezuela’s Nicolas Maduro
Growing Islamophobia heightens political risk for Europe
Amid the high tension in Europe, populist parties will use Islamophobia to increase their political influence. This troublesome trend will only bring about greater political risk for the continent. Islamophobia
Is ISIS reviving extremist networks in Indonesia?
With over 250 million people, Indonesia is the world’s most populous Muslim-majority nation. While it has banned support for ISIS and its ideology, fighters returning from Iraq or Syria threaten to
Weakening currencies put developing countries’ debt at risk
Debts issued in foreign currencies, some of which are not counted in official statistics, are a rising risk to developing economies as the UK and US get closer to raising
Will Al-Qaeda groups cooperate with Islamic State?
The terrorist attacks that occurred in Paris from January 7th to January 9th have shocked Europe and the world. These attacks bore a specificity that underscores a new tendency in
African energy producers face oil price pressure
While importing countries’ consumers are rejoicing at cheap oil prices, oil-producing countries in sub-Saharan Africa are facing severe fiscal downturns from the drastic shift in the global oil market. With global oil
Low oil prices bring instability to the global oil sector
A pro-longed period of low oil prices could have long-term consequences for the future of the oil industry and geopolitical stability of some oil exporting countries. Falling oil prices can be
