Latest Insights
Mariupol and Debaltseve bring Russia closer to military endgame
In Ukraine, the latest rebel assault on the strategic transport hub of Mariupol signals the possibility of a full-scale invasion to secure the Crimean peninsula. Following last weekend’s offensive on
Will ‘Mano Dura’ crime policies persist in Central America?
In the Central American nations of Guatemala, El Salvador and Honduras, which make up the Northern Triangle, ‘Mano Dura’ (Iron Fist) policies have led to harsh crackdowns on delinquency and
Oil sector expected to reduce investment in new projects
Despite the overall benefits for the global economy, the prolonged period of low oil prices is likely to reduce investment in new oil projects, raising the potential for economic and political
Beijing favours quality growth over quantity
China’s economic slowdown is a realignment of Beijing’s economic policies, which favours quality economic growth over high quantity growth. In late 2014, the first statistics appeared indicating that China’s economy was slowing
Amid chaos, Libya risks losing greatest trading partner
The power struggle in Libya poses a great risk to Italian investment in the war-torn country, as thousands of migrants flee to Italy’s southern shores. Decades-old oil vessels, once a
Five challenges Croatia’s new president ‘Barbie’ faces
Recently elected President of Croatia inherits a country faced with a shrinking economy, unemployment, insufficient education, infrastructure issues and corruption. With a slim margin, right-wing Kolinda Grabar-Kitarovic, nicknamed Barbie, won the
Yemen’s Houthi rebels’ goals remain unclear
Yemen is rudderless following the resignation of its president, Abd Rabbuh Mansur Hadi on January 22. The Houthi rebels’ ultimate goals and Yemen’s future, tied to regional stability, remain in
Rise of radical parties challenges eurozone efficiency
In recent years, the new radical right’s political discourse has attracted voters across Europe and experienced a substantial increase in electoral support. Unlike radical right parties throughout history, the ‘new’ radical
Recession ahead for Brazil?
With fiscal adjustment in progress, Brazil’s new Finance Minister announces a trimester of negative growth. However, adverse conditions in the international economy and a severe energy crisis raise concerns over
Can the Central African Federation survive recent events?
In the wake of recent sweeping environmental and political events, member countries of the defunct Central African Federation make painful choices to improve their economic performance. Will a rainbow follow the
