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International Natural resources and energy

Doha meeting reveals Opec’s inability to control global oil prices

The recent Doha meeting of major oil producers failed to agree oil output freeze deal and confirmed the existence of deep disagreements within Opec.

Latin America Politics

After Rousseff impeachment vote, what’s next for Brazil?

What’s in store for Rousseff? And, more importantly, how will this debacle affect South America’s largest economy?

International Politics

G7 foreign ministers meeting: Turning the heat on China

G7 foreign ministers convened in Japan last week. Although heads of states won’t meet in Japan until next month, this meeting gives a hint of the priorities of the group, and more widely the West and its key allies in the Asia-Pacific region

Europe Politics

Yatsenyuk’s resignation highlights Ukraine’s structural issues

Prime Minister Yatsenyuk’s resignation highlights structural governance issues in Ukraine, underscoring the risks posed by a high degree of corruption.

Europe Security

The risk of renewed hostilities over Nagorno-Karabakh

In the most serious escalation of fighting in over two decades, the formerly “frozen” conflict of Nagorno-Karabakh recently erupted into an open conflict.

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Investors meet to discuss Brazil woes. Chancellor builds case for UK “In” campaign. Primaries in New York remain decisive. Obama meets with GCC nations. ECB announces rates. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. Latin Finance

Politics Sub-Saharan Africa

Zuma is a liability to ANC and South Africa

Ensuing and ever-deepening crises surrounding South Africa’s President Jacob Zuma are testing the resilience of the young democracy’s institutions.

Europe Politics

The Island of the blessed — Cameron and the Panama papers

Cameron has to beat tax evasion charges if he is to maintain credibility ahead of the Brexit referendum.

Europe Politics

Macedonia facing an uncertain future

President Ivanov’s suspension of investigations of wire-tapping scandals increases the risk of political instability in Macedonia, which is already troubled by the migrant crisis.

North America Politics

Unboxing the New York Democratic presidential primary

Bernie Sanders has won 7 out of the last 8 contests, and brings a good deal of momentum to the New York’s Democractic presidential primary.