Security
Three hard lessons for Syria from Lebanon’s civil war
While the prospect of all-out war in Lebanon is unlikely, the country’s own experience might draw some important lessons on how Syria’s conflict may eventually end. A day before the
Low-probability, high-impact events: Why are people afraid of terrorism?
Why are so many people more worried about dying in a terrorist attack than in a car accident or from the consequences of smoking? Two aspects can help explain this
Are Turkey and Russia headed for confrontation?
Turkey shoots down a Russian fighter jet. Sam Leonard explores what this means for the future of Turkish-Russian relations in this GRI Guest Post. The news this morning that Turkey
France’s war on terror may overextend its resources
With France in open war with the Islamic State after the November 13th attacks in Paris that left 129 people dead, its commitments and ability to credibly fulfill them is
What the Paris attacks mean for Syria
Just over a week after coordinated ISIS attacks in Paris, the dynamics of the Syrian war are poised for change. Militarily, change will only come modestly – but confidence-building measures
Salafi Shake-Up: ISIS encroaching on the House of Saud
Friday night’s terrorist attacks in Paris moved up the timeline of this showdown between ISIS and the House of Saud, making it vital for the West, particularly the US, to
Big win for AKP in Turkey, but future is uncertain
In a shock to many pollsters, the Justice and Development Party (AKP) regained its parliamentary majority, lost in the June elections, with a vote of 49.5% and 317 seats in
The Kuril Islands: Power projection and resource protection
The Kuril Islands dispute between Russia and Japan is not so much noteworthy with respect to its past origins, but rather for what it portends for Russia’s future foreign policy
Four political risks following the terror attacks in Paris
The tragic terror attacks in Paris on November 13th bring simmering local and regional political risks to a boil. When calling Friday’s terrorist attacks in the French capital an act
A strategic shift in the terrorist threat to France
The 13 November attacks in Paris are part of a wider shift in Islamic State’s global strategy. The tactics used and the nature of the targets underline a growing security
