Politics
GRI’s 2014 Person of the Year in political risk
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is GRI’s 2014 Person of the Year in political risk. Much like Mexico’s President Enrique Pena Nieto last year, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has become
For Turkey, Russian partnership is high risk-high reward
A Russia-Turkey partnership is in the offer, and with increasing domestic and international political pressure the two countries seem to be headed for a significant diplomatic relationship in the near future. A
Top 5 political risks in 2015
From Russian recession and falling oil prices to emerging market reform and divided responses to Islamic State, five areas will define political risk in 2015. One year ago today, the
Weekly Risk Outlook
Israeli central bank to decide on interest rates. New home price data set for release in the United States. American banks to face new liquidity regulations. AirAsia crash creates potential
Populist Podemos will shape 2015 elections in Spain
With chronic unemployment, corruption and Catalonian secessionist claims already apparent in Spain, the rise of Podemos and its brand of socialist populism adds yet another level of intrigue to Spanish
US-Cuba thaw stepping stone to expanded Latin America trade
Given the shift in U.S.-Cuba relations, the April 2015 Summit of the Americas may serve as a significant stepping stone to expanded trade relations between the United States and several Latin American
Royal divorce signals power shift for Thai monarchy
Thailand’s Crown Prince is divorcing his wife shortly after several of her relatives were arrested in a corruption scandal. The move is seen as a power shift within the palace
Weekly Risk Outlook
New U.S. consumer sentiment data to keep improving. Central Banks in Armenia and Turkey to deal with rouble and Fed policy. Second round of voting in Greek presidential elections. Tensions
Impact of the 2015 elections on Burundi’s economy
In 2015, Burundi will face not only local and legislative, but also presidential elections. Their importance for the democratic transition process of this post-conflict and extremely poor country cannot be
US-Cuba thaw has a long road ahead
President Obama’s decision to re-establish relations with Cuba this week will yield a short-term uptick in bilateral trade, but realization of long-term investment opportunities remain some ways off. Wednesday’s bombshell that
