Politics
Will Obama’s State of the Union proposals survive Congress?
Last night, President Obama delivered his 2015 State of the Union Address to a special joint session of Congress covering swathes of domestic and foreign policy issues. The important question,
Industry interests could pave a rocky political path for US-Cuba relations
The thaw in tensions between the United States and Cuba will likely be hamstrung by U.S. domestic politics. However, pressures from major interest groups that would stand to benefit from closer
Weekly Risk Outlook
Expected ECB QE programme will require some fine-tuning. Russia’s credit rating takes a hit as its economy weakens further. Iran may face new sets of US sanctions as newest round of talks begin, and
President Jammeh stays in power despite Gambian coup attempt
President Jammeh came to power through a military coup in 1994 and has maintained control of Gambia through state coercion and force, thus engendering a culture of silence among its
GRI’s Weekly Risk Outlook
Brazilian inflation is on the rise with the potential for broad economic consequences. South Korea appears headed toward more accommodative monetary policy. Greece faces a possible credit downgrade as political turmoil continues.
Sri Lanka polls see a new dawn
Sri Lanka’s elections usher in an unexpected change in leadership, but the new government will be faced with a variety of political and economic challenges. President Mahinda Rajapakse was dislodged after a decade
Can fractious Burundi be mended?
Burundi’s upcoming presidential elections set for June 2015 have been overshadowed by uncertainty and ambiguity, as current President Pierre Nkurunziza aims to stand for a controversial third term. The opposition
GRI’s Weekly Risk Outlook
Sri Lanka holds early elections. Bank of England to decide on monetary policy. U.S. to release federal reserve meeting minutes and new employment data. Greek elections threaten financial markets. Deflation pressures China’s
“The Interview” shows the value of political risk analysis
The latest Hollywood film by Sony Pictures generated a small fraction of the forecasted box office revenue because of disruptions and threats by the North Korean government. This example demonstrates
GRI’s 2014 Country of the Year in political risk
Scotland is GRI’s 2014 Country of the Year in political risk. The debate over Scottish independence showed the vote was not just about nationalism but also political risk. Scottish voters
