Europe
No end in sight for conflict in Eastern Ukraine
As armed conflict continues in Eastern Ukraine amid failed attempts at ceasefires, should we expect new flare-ups in the Donbass region in 2018?
Ukraine faces a heightened risk of instability in 2018
High levels of corruption, poor governance and the ongoing conflict in the east generate a heightened risk of instability in Ukraine
Gas sector reform in Ukraine: unfinished business
Reforming the gas sector remains one of the most crucial pre-requisites to achieving a genuine political transformation in Ukraine.
Belarus on the cusp of a (tech) revolution?
New legislation puts Belarus at the forefront of the cryptocurrency boom – and shows the government’s commitment to attracting long term IT investment.
Catalonia: the rise of Ciudadanos
Elections in Catalonia delivered a blow to Madrid and provided separatists with a relative victory. They also cemented the rise of the Ciudadanos party, with implications for Spain’s national politics.
Four scenarios for Italy’s legislative elections in 2018
The upcoming elections in Italy increase the risk of political uncertainty. GRI looks at the potential outcomes of these polls.
Russia’s election year: What to expect from Putin 4.0
Putin enters the Presidential election year of 2018 in arguably his strongest-ever position internationally – and the weakest (relatively speaking) he has been domestically.
Europe’s main challenge in 2018 will come from within
European leaders enter the new year with a number of serious challenges on their agenda: from Russia, from the US, but mainly – from the erosion of democratic values in Europe itself.
Instability is a bigger risk than populism in the Czech Republic
Much is being made of the Czech Republic’s turn to populism and Euroscepticism, but the bigger risks from recent elections are fragmentation, legislative gridlock and instability.
Italy’s emerging terrorist threat
The recent apprehension of the Moroccan Nabil Benhamir in Genoa has sparked renewed interest for Rome’s counterterrorism strategy. Although Italy is a high symbolic country and despite the Islamic State’s repeated calls for attacks, the country has not suffered a major jihadist terrorist attack – yet.
