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International Security

The U.N. hits another wall in Syria, but a resolution remains possible

The U.N. has continually failed to influence a political resolution in Syria. This does not mean that a political resolution is not possible, but shows that states in the ‘East’ are confident enough to challenge the Security Council’s authority and work together to bring stability.

South and Central Asia Technology and infrastructure

Infrastructure setbacks in Indonesia reflect broader risks

President Jokowi’s desire to secure his infrastructure vision before next year’s election holds risks for Indonesia as well as his own candidateship.

Asia Pacific Security

An old dispute re-emerges as Russia militarises Kuril Islands

A long-standing territorial dispute continues to disrupt relations between Japan and Russia. This is negatively impacting economic cooperation between the two countries, with the potential to be detrimental for both parties.

Economics International The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead: 4 – 10 March 2018

Trump announces new steel and aluminum tariffs. Brexit prompts conflict over Ireland status. FARC competes in legislative elections. New presidential elections in Sierra Leone. All in the Week Ahead. 

Asia Pacific South and Central Asia

China’s strengthening relationship with Pakistan

Beijing’s recent decision to increase diplomatic, economic and strategic ties with Pakistan is part of a broader strategy to bolster China’s regional influence at Washington’s expense. China’s relations with Pakistan

Asia Pacific Politics

Duterte leverages popularity to push for constitutional change

The Congress of the Philippines has begun formal proceedings on changing the government of the Philippines into a federal system. The move is extremely divisive and is interpreted as a power grab. Its success will depend on Duterte’s political capital.

Insights

The Munich Security Conference – to the brink

The theme of the Munich Security Conference this year was “To the Brink – and Back?” Amid a decline in US diplomatic leadership, and with no clear European successor, the conference failed to reassure those concerned by heightened inter-state tension. 

Economics International

OZY+GRI: Is this how the next global recession begins?

Amid the second-longest bull market in U.S. history, talk of an inevitable recession is often met with “this time is different” arguments. And this time is different – but not the way you think.

Europe Politics

The Kremlin’s anti-corruption campaign comes to the Caucasus

In recent years, anti-corruption campaigns in Russia has led to multiple arrests and trials of high-level officials, including several regional governors. In early 2018, they came to the republic of Dagestan in the North Caucasus.

Finance International

OZY+GRI: Can Emperor Yuan dethrone King Dollar as the world’s currency?

In 2018, China could seek to dethrone King Dollar by forcing yuan-denomination of specific commodities, marking a cataclysmic shift in the world financial order that’s been in place since World War II.