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International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

South African Minister presents budget. Fed delivers speech. Ireland holds general election. Iran holds parliamentary elections. Dems vote in South Carolina, the GOP in Nevada. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. South African

Asia Pacific Security

U.S. allies in the South China Sea

Can the U.S. count on its allies in the South China Sea to combat China’s increasing presence in the region? With its artificial island-building, China has transformed the entire South

Europe Politics

Deconstructing Serbia and Macedonia’s 2016 elections

Upcoming elections will consolidate the ruling party’s grip on power in Serbia and could well return a disgraced government to power in Macedonia. EU leaders will gloss over the former,

Economics International

How risk led millennials to launch a global startup boom

Global economic risks have created an environment in which, paradoxically, millennials are greater risk takers, prompting a global startup renaissance. The Great Recession and the years of fitful international growth

International Natural resources and energy

Saudi-Russian deal not a quick fix for the oil crisis

The recent deal struck between Russia, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Venezuela to prop up oil prices by freezing production levels at January levels might have a psychological effect on oil

Asia Pacific Finance

Interest rates dip below zero for first time in Japan

The concept of negative rates that originated in Europe has now spread east. Just as customers of commercial banks earn interest on funds deposited with these banks, commercial banks normally

Asia Pacific Politics

Three goals the Thai junta hopes to achieve before it exits

The Thai junta government is prolonging its stay. The new draft constitution empowers the military at the expense of weakening the executive branch and political parties. In the main time,

Economics Europe

Belarus caught in the middle between EU and Russia

Belarus’ future is torn between the potentially positive implications of the lifting of EU sanctions and the current major losses suffered by the national currency due to Russia’s economic crisis.

Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy

Who is funding ISIS?

While Al-Qaeda-like groups are relying on donations and convincing Muslim opinion worldwide, the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIS) is exploiting both the local population and resources on

Asia Pacific Economics

Bright spots remain despite Japan’s economic troubles

Global economic volatility is hampering Japan’s efforts to address structural weaknesses, resulting in a dual assault on Tokyo’s attempts to boost economic growth. Yet despite these trends, it is not