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Middle East/North Africa Politics

Rouhani, Trump, and Theresa May: Is rapprochement dead?

Rouhani and his reformist allies rode their platform of social moderation and international engagement to crushing victories.

Middle East/North Africa Politics

What Khamenei’s approval of the nuclear deal means for Iran’s political future

The Iranian nuclear deal was not just a victory for Rouhani — it was a carefully calculated move by Ayatollah Khamenei. In approving the deal, he has opened the door

Middle East/North Africa

Middle East and North Africa in 2015: A Year in Review

As the sun sets on 2015, the MENA region continues to suffer from political instability, regional insecurity, and a weak economic climate. It has been five years since the Arab

Middle East/North Africa Politics

Five trends that will shape the MENA in 2016

Torn between conflicts and insurgency, the Middle East has witnessed a rise of non-state-actors at the expense of states weakened by a struggling global economy and social changes that exceed

International Politics

GRI’s 2015 Person of the Year in Political Risk

Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif is Global Risk Insights Person of the Year in Political Risk 2015. Like our 2014 GRI Person of the year Indian Prime Minister Narendra

Middle East/North Africa Security

Iran’s military and economic investment in Syria

Since the early 1980s, Iran has invested substantial political and economic capital into Syria. Tehran will continue to support the Assad regime, acting as a counter-point alongside Russia to the

Middle East/North Africa Politics

What does the Iran nuclear deal mean for the GCC?

The recently struck Iranian nuclear deal poses tough questions and considerations for members of the Gulf Cooperation Council, who will work to preserve their influence in the Gulf and broader Middle

Middle East/North Africa Natural resources and energy

Uncertainty undermines opportunities for Iranian energy sector

The Iran nuclear deal opens up billions of dollars in investment opportunities in the country’s energy sector. But uncertainty remains about the stability of the deal, the end of sanctions,

Middle East/North Africa Security

Can the US and Russia find agreement on Syria after the nuclear deal?

Discussions between high level US and Russian diplomatic officials over Syria may be signaling the conflict is entering its end phase. With the Iranian nuclear agreement finalized, bilateral cooperation on

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Greeks reject EU terms in referendum. Key issues still unresolved as extended deadline with Iran approaches. EIA releases energy forecast. UK Chancellor Osborne releases budget. BRICS summit in Russia will test