Posts From Riccardo Dugulin

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Europe Outlook for 2017 Politics

May day: Breaking down the upcoming French election

With four front-runners facing difficult sets of issues, the electoral campaign is likely to be tumultuous with continued weakening French institutions.

Europe Security

The ongoing terrorism threat and France’s “new normal”

Since January 2015, France has been hit by seven high-profile radical Islamist terrorist attacks that have left more than 235 dead and 380 injured.

Europe Security

Europe beware! Islamic State to switch tactics in Europe in 2017

As the Islamic State loses territory in Syria and Iraq, the radical Islamist group is likely to increase its focus on foreign operations leading to a heightened terrorist threat in Europe for 2017.

Europe Outlook for 2017 Politics

2017 Preview: Europe’s security and political risk outlook

With 2017 fast approaching, Europe and the EU will likely continue to be exposed to a range of security, financial and political risks.

Middle East/North Africa Security

Turkey’s terror problem: How terrorism challenges Turkey’s long-term stability

In the wake of the assassination of Russia’s Ambassador to Turkey Andrey Karlov, terrorism is once again at the forefront of news about Turkey. A recent string of terrorist attacks underscores Turkey’s heightened exposure to instability caused by ongoing security challenges.

Economics Europe

Easing visa requirements: Belarus eyes foreign business

The potential easing of travel visa requirements in Belarus is likely to boost the local economy while improving its regional and global image.

Europe Politics

Macron: the French conformist anti-establishment candidate

On Wednesday, November 16th, Emmanuel Macron stood in an industrial site north of Paris and announced he would run for president in France’s 2017 election. It is with a speech

Economics Europe

2017 will see more EU division over Russia sanctions

Russia’s counter-sanctions are hurting various European economies while major investment projects in Russia are being blocked by EU sanctions. This situation has led to enhanced tensions within the EU, thus increasing the risk of disunity regarding its policy towards Moscow.

Europe Politics

Special Report: A fractured France at the crossroad of multiple risks

weakened political class and ongoing social tensions expose France to several risk trends.

Europe Politics

Belarus’ latest elections: A potential for further opening

While the election of two opposition MPs does not change Belarus’ power balance, it does show signs of a thaw towards the opposition and the EU.