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International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

US Fed to raise rates. WTO meets in Kenya. Mexico announces auction winners. Summit on terrorism financing. Spanish elections’ outcome politically dangerous. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. Federal Reserve Likely to Raise Interest Rates for

International Natural resources and energy

The price war continues, but oil might rise soon

While OPEC decided to continue the price war at its December meeting, the downturn in oil prices might end in 2016, due to rebalancing in global supply and demand. OPEC’s

International Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Final U.S. data before Fed meeting. Oil reports project low prices in 2016. Argentine President-elect takes office. US Congress votes on spending bill. Koreas to improve relations. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. Last Tranche

Asia Pacific Politics

FON operations in the South China Sea matter little for trade

While Freedom of Navigation (FON) operations in the South China Sea have heightened tensions between the US and China, trade continues to remain unaffected. The beginning of November marked the

International Politics

Weekly Risk Outlook

COP21 begins in Paris. ECB sets interest rates. IMF discusses adding Yuan to SDR. Brazil releases poor Q3 growth figures. LNG summit in Italy explores potential. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. Global Climate

International Natural resources and energy

OPEC likely to continue price war

The OPEC’s December meeting might cause more stir than usual, as the period of low oil prices enters its 18th month with no visible signs of changes in sight, and

Politics The Week Ahead

Weekly Risk Outlook

Hollande makes case for alliance. Fed close to rate hike. Nigeria sets rates. Brazil makes major energy sale. Americans ready for biggest shopping day of the year. All in the Weekly Risk Outlook. French

Security South and Central Asia

Three Insights from Underwhelming U.S-Pakistan Nuclear Talks

Despite the highly precarious nature of Pakistan’s nuclear program, early reports of U.S.-Pakistan nuclear negotiations in mid-October appear to be overblown. Though the prospects of such a deal are not

Middle East/North Africa North America

Obama’s diplomatic shift in Syria

On Friday, President Obama announced that the United States is to deploy around 50 Special Forces troops to Syria, after repeatedly ruling out US “boots on the ground” action in

Middle East/North Africa Security

Team Obama’s Low-Risk, High-reward Move in Syria

Contrary to critics, Obama’s decision to deploy Special Operations troops to Syria is neither a giant step forward into a quagmire, nor a meaningless symbolic gesture. In fact, as far